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2025年1月14日 星期二

Taking Greenland will make Trump the true leader of the community of human destiny and rule for life

 


Trump has stated that he does not rule out using military means to seize Greenland, citing the need to counter military threats from China and Russia. Greenland has a population of only 50,000 to 60,000 people, and Denmark, the Netherlands, and the EU provide economic assistance. The only military base on Greenland is American, and Denmark, as the sovereign state, is a NATO member. Therefore, Greenland is under NATO's protection, and the U.S., as the leading force in NATO, has no justification for occupying Greenland for military purposes. As for the claim that Greenland has rare earth resources urgently needed by the U.S., rare earth mining involves extracting a few grams of elements from several tons of ore, which severely damages the environment and is rejected by many countries. Moreover, mining in Greenland's hard permafrost environment is costly and difficult. Ultimately, Trump's proposal is still a territorial claim, similar to the annexation of Canada, to easily fulfill his so-called campaign promise of making America great again. This is the same excuse Putin used to invade Ukraine, only replacing the great revival of the Russian nation with the American one.


Recently, the same logic has appeared in Trump's statements regarding Canada and Panama. In short, as long as it benefits the U.S., other countries must give up their sovereignty; otherwise, they face tariffs or military invasion. To achieve America's greatness, Trump can justify territorial expansion just like Putin. Although wars have continued worldwide since the end of the Cold War, there has been no large-scale global war, allowing humanity to enjoy relative peace for over 40 years and gradually achieve globalization through economic and trade cooperation. Until the Russia-Ukraine conflict broke out, countries hoped to keep the war within controllable limits. Given the current progress of the war and Russia's military decline, if it continues for a while longer, Russia's military resources will be exhausted, and Putin will undoubtedly be defeated, ending the war and avoiding further deterioration. However, with Trump's return and many uncertainties in the next four years, the confrontation between the East and West camps on the Ukrainian battlefield will undergo unpredictable changes.


The alliance of Russia, China, North Korea, Iran and others are likely to gain a decisive military advantage, while Ukraine will face total defeat, losing territory and permanently unable to join NATO. Trump's recent territorial demands on other countries aim to legitimize aggressive wars using America's strength. Thus, Russia's territorial invasion of Ukraine becomes a legitimate demand. The U.S. withdrawing support for Ukraine will lead to NATO's disintegration, and Europe alone cannot bear the long-term pressure of war against Russia. Ultimately, Europe will have to abandon or conditionally support Ukraine. With NATO's disintegration, the military force to counter Russia will no longer exist. Initially, Russia invaded Ukraine to prevent NATO's eastward expansion, but it will eventually lead to Russia's westward expansion. After solving the Ukraine issue, Russia's next step will inevitably be to invade Poland and expand into Eastern Europe. In short, Ukraine's failure is Putin's victory, and the great revival of the Russian nation will finally succeed.


After Trump dismantles NATO, Russia will ally with rogue states in the West, creating a new world order and establishing a new community of human destiny. The so-called democratic system will collapse with the disintegration of military alliances, leading humanity into unprecedented changes since World War II. Trump is the ultimate decisive force relied upon by authoritarian countries, a true nuclear bomb lurking in Western countries yet to explode. In the next four years, he will bear the historical mission of ending NATO, helping Russia rebuild the former Soviet Empire's glory, and, along with other allies, reshape the international order. Trump will become the core creator of the community of human destiny, the leader of the world's people, and rule for life.

 

Kim Jong-un is pleased to see heavy casualties which can increase troops for make more money

 


Ukraine captured two North Korean soldiers who revealed that the North Korean army has suffered heavy casualties, with an estimated minimum of over 3,000 soldiers lost since they officially deployed in November 2024. The casualty rate of North Korean soldiers is comparable to that of the Russian army. North Korea dispatched its Storm Special Forces, reportedly the country's most elite unit. However, these special forces are skilled in special operations, when deployed as regular soldiers on the Russia-Ukraine battlefield, their combat effectiveness is not particularly impressive. 


Moreover, they are unfamiliar with the battlefield, weapons, tactics, and environment. The North Korean army has not participated in large-scale warfare for over 70 years, and due to food shortages, they cannot even conduct normal duties, training, or exercises. The Storm Special Forces are the only unit in North Korea that can barely get enough to eat. On the battlefield, apart from their loyalty to their leader and concerns for their family's safety, North Korean soldiers do not exhibit any exceptional combat skills. Although they show a higher combat will than the Russian army during group charges, in modern warfare, this only leads to increased casualties.


Furthermore, the Russian army's current trench warfare is not particularly effective. It relies on the numerical advantage of equipment and soldiers to suppress Ukraine and sustain the war. At the end of 2024, it was reported that Kim Jong-un of North Korea was preparing to send more troops to Ukraine. The initial deployment of over 10,000 troops struggled to cope with the complex battlefield environment. More importantly, NATO did not react too strongly, and with Trump's election and his proposed pro-Russian ceasefire conditions, North Korea's military support for Russia was practical and effective. 


North Korea fully supports Russia with military supplies, providing 7 million artillery shells and missiles, giving the Russian army a partial advantage on the battlefield. In contrast, NATO only provided 500,000 artillery shells to Ukraine by mid-last year, leading to a passive situation for the Ukrainian army due to ammunition shortages. Subsequent improvements were merely piecemeal from other countries.


In terms of ammunition, there has been little progress in personnel support. Although France, the UK, Poland, and the Baltic states have expressed a willingness to send troops and even made some preparations, there has been no concrete progress. In contrast, North Korea's attitude towards sending troops is clear, firm, and highly efficient. Initially, they deployed a division of over 10,000 soldiers, gradually expanding to around 100,000. If the number of troops increases to 500,000, it will undoubtedly change the battlefield situation. Meanwhile, Iran is providing weapons and equipment to Russia, and China has provided 600 billion in funds through energy trade to sustain the war. 


Terrorist countries and organizations in the Middle East have opened a second front, although currently passive, diverting some of Europe and America's attention. The most important factor is Trump. Russia secretly supported Trump's rise to power, and after the U.S. presidential transition, the first task of Russia's proxy is to help Putin escape the current military predicament through ceasefire, forcing Ukraine to abandon joining NATO and accept territorial losses.


By withdrawing the U.S., NATO will disintegrate. Under the guise of concentrating forces to counter China, Russia will become a secondary issue and no longer the focus. Putin will continue to govern and avoid Russia's disintegration. Objectively, the overall situation is unfavorable for Ukraine. If North Korea significantly increases its troop deployment and weapon supply, Ukraine will face immense military pressure. 


North Korean soldiers' lives are almost negligible unless the U.S. and South Korea attack North Korea. Otherwise, half of North Korea's 2 million regular troops can theoretically be deployed on the Russia-Ukraine battlefield. North Korea also has a mature troop mobilization system, allowing continuous troop increases and equipment expansion, with covert support from China at all levels. Currently, the total Russian troop strength on the front lines in Ukraine is around 500,000. If this number increases by 1-2 times, the Ukrainian army, already at a manpower disadvantage, will struggle even more and may face partial defeats.


Expecting NATO to send troops in the short to medium term without considering the U.S. factor is unrealistic. The entire EU is happy to see Russia being consumed but does not want to fully participate in the war. Although Poland is willing to send troops directly, to maintain NATO's overall interests and avoid being dragged into the war, Europe will limit its participation. In contrast, for North Korea, sending troops means direct participation in the war. Although they have suffered heavy casualties, they can significantly increase troop numbers in the future. In fact, North Korea is the biggest beneficiary of the Russia-Ukraine war, consuming stockpiled ammunition, breaking years of UN sanctions, and obtaining large amounts of food, energy, funds, and military technology. 


They have trained their troops and cultivated military backbones, objectively improving their international status, increasing their international discourse power, and breaking some international restrictions. The ongoing war is highly beneficial to North Korea in all aspects. For the U.S., Trump's negative impact is even more apparent. In the next four years, he will play the role of Ukraine's terminator. In short, for the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia has a chance to win in the next four years, and Ukraine is likely to lose. 


Although Trump has gained four years, he will be assassinated again during his term due to touching fundamental interests. For the sake of the Ukrainian people, global arms dealers, eliminating the greatest threat to European peace, preventing NATO's disintegration, solving the Putin and Russia problem, maintaining the post-WWII peace system, eradicating major authoritarian forces, preserving the global free trade system, making the U.S. stronger, and avoiding another full-scale world war after the Cold War, Trump's assassination should happen as soon as possible.

 

Trump swallows American version of Ukraine - Canada, so America is finally great again

 


Trump actually wants to annex Canada to become the 51st state of the United States. In recent years, he has been making similar comments to his backer, Vladimir Putin, who secretly supported him in the election. Putin said: "Give him 20 years, and he will give you a strong Russia." To fulfill his election promises, he started a war to annex Ukraine, aiming to achieve the great renaissance of Russia. Now, it is Trump's turn to annex Canada to make the United States strong again and realize the great renaissance of the “American nation.” The U.S. and Canada's political systems, ideologies, languages, cultures, economies, and diplomatic cooperation are similar. They belong to the same economic and trade zone. Historically, there have been attempts to unite through war, but they did not succeed. The U.S. White House was even burned by Canada. Now, Trump is threatening to propose a merger.


The Philippines, which was a U.S. colony at the time, took the initiative to join the United States as the 51st state, but it was rejected due to economic reasons. Canada, as a developed Western country, does not have economic reasons for joining the United States. The purpose of joining would be to become a new version of the United States as a colony. Historically, the United States was a colony that gained independence from Britain, while Canada remained loyal to Britain and France, leading to the independence and development of both countries. 


The merger does not seem to bring any benefits to Canada based on the current close cooperation between the two countries at all levels. It would only allow the United States to expand its territory and become the largest country in terms of area, surpassing the former Soviet Union. This would fulfill Trump's promise of making the United States great again, even though the country has never weakened since World War II. Trump's great renaissance is similar to Putin's. Russia and Ukraine share the same ethnicity, language, culture, history, and religion, and were originally one country divided into two, similar to the United States and Canada. In this way, Trump is the Putin of the United States, and Putin is the Trump of Russia.


Generally speaking, Americans have never felt that Canadians are not Americans, but Canadians have always felt that they are Canadians and not Americans. Similarly, Russians think that Ukraine is Russian, while Ukrainians think that they are Ukrainian and not Russian at all. Although it is difficult to distinguish between the two, they are different countries after all. Trump said that he would not use military means to merge the United States and Canada but did not rule out the use of force against Greenland. Russia's provocation of Ukraine began with a border conflict, eventually leading to the Russian-Ukrainian war. 


The world's second-largest military power has been dragged into the quagmire of war and is struggling to extricate itself. If there were a U.S.-Canada war, the world's largest military power, at least during Trump's four-year term, would struggle to digest Canada, which has a land area of more than 10 million square kilometers. Ukraine is the European grain silo, ranked second in area in Europe, and rich in natural resources, with developed heavy industry and agriculture. The annexation of Ukraine is far more favorable to Russia than Chechnya, Georgia, or South Ossetia, and can demonstrate the great renaissance of the Russian nation. The above conditions are exactly the same as those of Canada.


The purpose of creating the United Nations system after World War II was not to prevent wars but to limit the risk of wars developing into world wars due to territorial encroachment. NATO was established to prevent the territorial expansion of the former Soviet Union. What Trump is doing now is forcing the dissolution of NATO and breaking the post-WWII restrictions on world war. The ultimate goal of Russia-Ukraine truce is to force Ukraine to accept the reality of its loss of territory and promise never to join NATO. This would break the post-World War II agreement that countries cannot invade and take over the territories of other countries at will. 


The purpose of the United States not continuing to participate in the European war against Russia is to force the dissolution of NATO. The so-called independent support of Europe for Ukraine against Russia and Putin is to disintegrate post-WWII NATO, which united Europe and the United States to fight against the Soviet Union. Putin's support for Trump's presidential campaign was conditional. Specifically, it was to help Russia break the diplomatic isolation imposed by Europe and the United States; secondly, it was to acquiesce to Russia's external expansion and territorial claims; and finally, it was for the United States to take the initiative to withdraw and force the dissolution of NATO.


Trump's rush to force Russia and Ukraine to stop the war is not for the sake of peace, but because a long-term war would inevitably lead to Russia's defeat. Trump wants to help Putin avoid military failure and maintain personal rule. On this basis, he aims to maintain Russia's permanent security and unrestricted external expansion, making NATO immediately dysfunctional or completely disbanded. This is Trump's ultimate mission in the next four years, as accepted by Putin. Otherwise, Putin will publicly reveal evidence of "Russiagate," causing Trump and even his family to be spurned. 


The U.S.-Canada merger, although just like a joke, becomes more plausible when Putin, with Trump's support, solves the Ukraine crisis. Even if it is to maintain the status quo and recognize the results of the referendum on the independence of the four states of Ukraine, Russia is the biggest beneficiary, forcing Ukraine to accept the success of the invasion. This is the so-called great renaissance of the Russian nation. Putin will then turn around and support Trump, realizing the great renaissance of the United States in Canada. Putin can remain in power for the rest of his life, and Trump can do the same. If not, both hand over their power and withdraw from the core of power, it will leave them with no chance of survival.

 

2024年9月20日 星期五

Trump's second assassination switched from a American rifle to Russian AK but next time it will go for an RPG

 


The expected second assassination of Donald Trump happened soon enough, but this time the shooter was arrested after firing randomly a few bullets in a hurry , but anyway this assassination is still a bit of an improvement over the last time when a young man shot with a small-calibre rifle. 


Firstly, the shooter had been lurking around the golf course for more than 12 hours and was not discovered by the secret service when he opened fire, which means that there was no problem with the planning, but it was not successful due to technical reasons; Secondly, the choice of using the AK47 was due to the more powerful firepower and the large area of killings in close range sweeping shots, but the problem is that the AK has poor accuracy, and it is impossible to aim at a medium to long distance and difficult to hit the target under the protection; Lastly, after the assassination failed, the gunman still had a chance to escape if he could have made more preparations.

 

From the whole assassination process, the AK47 was chosen because the shooter's shooting ability was poor, the person's military quality was amateurish, and the whole assassination plan was not fully well planned and implemented. The media said that the Democrats wanted to assassinate Trump, if this is really the case, a professional gunman with a sniper rifle, lurking in the golf course, grass and trees to cover the environment, can kill the target with just one or two shots and safely withdrawn. Unlike the current shooter who just fire randomly. 


The killer was dissatisfied with Trump's attempt to stop the Russian-Ukrainian war immediately. Trump's previous offer was only to let Ukraine accept the status and both sides stop the war first and then negotiate, the real purpose is to buy time for Vladimir Putin. The United States can force Ukraine to stop the war by many means, even if it is to stop the supply of weapons, ammunition and intelligence, it will seriously affect the progress of the war, rely entirely on Europe to fight against the Russian is very difficult, and Trump will certainly do some special operations against Zelensky. If Ukraine loses the leader, it will undoubtedly be detrimental to the long-term resistance against Russia.

 

This three-year war is entirely led by the US-led NATO, otherwise Ukraine would not be able to hold out for even two weeks. Even if a truce were forced on all sides, negotiations would be impossible, and there would be no reciprocal bargaining chips. Trump is determined to stop the war and help Russia because Putin has evidence of his ‘Russiagate’, and if it is released the consequences are unimaginable, so he has to keep Putin, at least keep his internal political power. From the current war situation, although the two sides stalemate, but Russia will surely lose under long-term attrition. 


So Trump must immediately help Putin pass through the difficult times,  so that Putin can take a breather to re-adjust the military deployment, replenish of troops, strengthen the logistics and weapons importations, and once again to regain the advantage of the battlefield. Objectively speaking, the war has developed to this stage, Trump underestimated the confidence of Ukraine troops and Europe's determination, even if he can interrupt the war in his four years time, but then the war will still continue.

  

Once the war machine is started, the NATO mechanism has already been restarted, and anyone who tries to stop it by himself will be crushed. The premise of the so-called ‘America is great again’ is not to acquiesce to Russia's military expansion in Europe, which would become ‘Russia is strong again’ and ‘the great renaissance of the Russian nation’. The United States has become an accomplice of Russia. Whether over 4,000 US military-industrial corporations are now producing at full capacity and receiving new orders nearly every day would like to see the war, which has been going on for three years, suddenly come to a halt. Would the big businessmen, companies and financiers, fuelled by the huge economic benefits of post-war reconstruction, want the war to stop? 


The second assassination was entirely personal, and it was made clearly that only for the Russian-Ukrainian war. This is the ultimate warning to Trump that the small calibre rifle has been replaced with a strong AK this time and the next time a professional sniper rifle will be used, or just settle for a more powerful Russian RPG.

 

2024年9月10日 星期二

Trump calls black Harris an idiot she responds you can't live 4 more years

 


Trump is going to have a TV debate with Harris and he is going to use the tactic of attacking and swearing at Harris, focusing on her incompetence and ignorance, Harris has very little to counter Trump's tactics because she really doesn't have a clue about international politics and diplomacy, and she is only a presidential candidate because Biden is too old, and the US has already had its turn for a woman to be president. The order of presidents in the US is that a white president is replaced by a black one, then a woman, a minority, and finally a transgender. The only strategy Harris might be able to use is that she, might be able to seize on the loopholes in Trump's attacks to challenge them, and could prepare something against Trump in advance to strike first.


Until now, it was not clear who would win the election, even if Trump had a slight advantage after the shooting. He attacked Biden for being old and incompetent now that he himself is old, and Harris for being so clueless that Trump might not have been as good as her when he was first elected. Even if he returns to the White House it would only be for 4 years and it is impossible to change America and the world in such a short period of time. The US has not become stronger in his 4 years in office, the trade wars have led to ‘epidemic war’ and the world has become more chaotic and fragmented. For himself, he has to get elected, or else the lawsuits will bring him down sooner or later, and even if he is elected, whether he can avoid the next assassination will depend on luck. The American electoral system is very outdated, and the assassination of the President is an American tradition. There is no telling how many hidden forces will want him dead.


He will definitely intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian war after coming to power. Recently, it is said that Ukraine hides the casualties, and also wants to pursue the responsibility for the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan. The Russian-Ukrainian war has made more than 4,000 arms dealers in the United States earn a lot of money, and the military enterprises of European countries and even the NATO allies have been placing orders continuously, and they have been expanding their production capacity and working overtime to manufacture arms. The war has already intervened in the critical point, once the war stops, it means that the world arms trade has plummeted, not to mention that if Russia really disintegrates, how much economic interests are involved in the post-war reconstruction, and how easy is it for Trump to end the war with just a word.

 

The leftist media in the United States, such as the <New York Times>, <The Associated Press>, CNN, the <Wall Street Times>, etc., are not going to let Trump off the hook, as he has been under attack ever since he was elected. Will the drug cartels let him off the hook for the huge price cuts he's forced them to make? Will the US and Middle East oil consortiums let him off the hook when the price of oil plummeted due to the liberalization of domestic oil extraction and exports? The Wall Street financial oligarchs and US conglomerates, in response to Trump's trade wars, have been in constant conflict with their ‘biggest competitor’, which has been making huge profits over the past few decades of collusion. Through globalization, US conglomerates have made huge profits from the huge markets of "their competitors". Will Donald Trump be let off the hook when he comes to power to start a bigger trade war that will ultimately lead to loss of profits?

 

Since the end of the Cold War, it has been the policy of the United States to export capital and make profits through globalization, and the Democratic Party has been the promoter of this strategy, so naturally, it will not let Trump sabotage this process with his unilateralism. The US domestic bureaucracy will not let Trump off the hook either, as the number of backroom deals with bureaucratic interests will be affected by the reduction of the approval period for infrastructure construction from 10 years to one. Building a wall at the border to keep out illegal immigrants also stops the drug trade through the border, and since smuggling immigrants illegally into the country has been a traditional business, would the big drug dealers and human smuggling groups in North America let Trump off the hook? The US health insurance system is chaotic, with a complex mix of unreasonable medical fees and insurance, and high drug prices that are unaffordable to the average person, and Trump has suppressed the prices of commonly used drugs by executive order, so will the pharmaceutical and insurance companies let him off the hook?


Trump is just a second-generation rich crappy businessman, his idea of changing the world by himself is stupid, the slogan of America is strong again, just like his good friend Vladimir Putin's ‘Give me 20 years, and I will give you a strong Russia’, is impossible to accomplish without being practical. The United States has never been in decline. Globalization was started by the United States and has been a fundamental policy since the Cold War. Forty years of globalization have brought relative peace to the world, and this relative stability should be stabilized, not undermined. As a businessman, Trump has fulfilled his historical mission, and even if he gets another term, if he had his own way, he wouldn't survive another 4 years surely.

2024年8月13日 星期二

Ukrainian raids Kursk, Putin is confused about who invaded whom now

 


Ukraine has suddenly invaded Russia's Kursk Region and has broken through dozens of kilometers of defenses and is now starting to build fortifications. The long-disturbed Ukrainian summer offensive has officially begun, but in an unexpected way. It would not be an exaggeration to call this attack an invasion, as the Kursk region was famous for the Soviet-German tank battles of World War II, and it is politically unfavorable for Russia to invade a country that has been invading Ukraine for more than two years, but is now being invaded by the enemy instead. 


For the United States, even if Trump came to power to force Ukraine to peace talks, if you can hold on to Kursk, undoubtedly the future of an additional bargaining chip. From a military point of view the so-called surprise attack emphasizes the strength of the attack, the speed and suddenness, and does not require too many personnel, if the gap is opened smoothly, you can then according to the specific circumstances to strengthen the personnel and equipment is not a problem, and the fact that the Ukrainian army is also so operated, and now there are already more troops into the war.

  

The Chechen troops that were defending the area only made a token stand and then retreated, and the new recruits that were stationed there, who were not capable of fighting, surrendered. Therefore, the suddenness of this offensive achieved unexpected results, and several hundred square kilometers of land were captured in a very short period of time. There are nuclear facilities and power plants, as well as a natural gas pipeline hub to Europe, which would be very favorable to the Ukrainian army if they took control of the area. Russia did not expect the Ukrainian army to take the initiative to attack its own territory. It would take at least 1-2 weeks for troops to be sent back from the Northern Military District and the front, but now tens of thousands of troops have been mobilized from all over the country and are on their way to Kursk in a hurry. The Ukrainians are building fortifications and deploying more troops, as well as ground armor, rockets, anti-aircraft missiles, and drones, so the siege is a certainty. 


The Russian army is now reinforced by civilian vehicles from the road, not even tanks and armored vehicles and heavy equipment, short-term expulsion of the Ukrainian army is likely to have a certain degree of difficulty. At least a few main divisions and armaments from the front line would be needed to cope with this sneak attack, but this would lead to a break in the battle line. Although the Russians have a numerical advantage in fighting a battle of attrition in the front line, it would be difficult for the Ukrainians to gain an advantage, and it would be detrimental to the Russians to move from a battle of positions to a battle of movement.

  

Kursk is only 500 kilometers away from Moscow, it doesn't take too long to use road armor to advance, and it took Prigogine only a few days to force Moscow. Although the Ukrainian army doesn't have any sign of hitting Moscow yet, it is inevitable that they will force the Russians to divide their forces through the war of movement by opening up a new battlefield. The Ukrainian army's main target is still Crimea, and it can launch an attack at any time. Kursk can be attacked both in and out, and if the Russians split their forces, they can attack Crimea, and the air defense facilities there have basically been cleared, the Black Sea fleet has been withdrawn, and the air bases have been cleared, so as long as they cut off the land and sea traffic, they will be able to achieve their goal. 


It is now up to the Ukrainian army to take the next step. The summer offensive into Kursk is not only a surprise, but also puts a lot of pressure on the Russian army. If the Russians slow down, the Ukrainians will expand their attack area, and if they try to divert their troops to help them, it will relieve the pressure on the eastern part of the country. If they keep sending a limited number of troops to rescue them, they will be gradually eliminated by the Ukrainians.

  

The political pressure on Vladimir Putin is also very great now, as Ukraine's successful sneak attack will open up other new wars, and the Russian army, with its own armament depletion, is basically unable to do anything about Ukraine's equipment advantage, and is not capable of effectively coping with it at all. And Ukraine is gradually gaining air superiority, so for the reinforcement of Kursk is more difficult, the face of the Ukrainian army equipped with Seamaster, F-16, drones, ground armor and other advanced equipment, how to rescue Kursk is a big problem, Putin KGB origin will not be unaware of the Kasimov claimed to have solved the Ukrainian army's lies. But how to deal with the invasion of Russia is indeed a new problem for Putin.

 

2024年8月8日 星期四

Either Trump is assassinated and the war continues, or Zelensky is killed and the war ends



 Zelensky held a welcoming ceremony for the newly arrived F-16s. The newly arrived fighters are not even painted, but labelled as Ukraine's new fighters, and it is estimated that by the end of the year, there will be 20 fighters, and the total number of the fighters has already exceeded 100, not including the other models donated by the European countries in the future. In fact, for Ukraine, how many fighters can be satisfied, not counting the various types of fighters produced in Europe, that is, the United States retired and sealed fighters there are thousands, as for the pilots, the West has already made it clear that it can be resolved through the recruitment of volunteer pilots. 

 

Therefore, the F-16s are just a cover, and the announcement of the official participation in the war is to observe Russia's subsequent reaction. If, as always, it is a verbal nuclear threat, then the increase in the number of follow-on fighters will be accelerated. If Russia overreacts, then the opposite will happen. Therefore, there is no doubt that Ukraine will gain air superiority in the future, and the timing will be completely controlled by Europe and the US. 

 

For Ukraine, apart from the uncertainty of Donald Trump, there is no question of the war continuing in any other way. Funding and ammunition continue to be replenished, more advanced and targeted weapons continue to flow in, and the two sides are now at a stalemate, with neither side able to make any more progress on the battlefield. At this point in the Russian-Ukrainian war, the most important thing for all parties is the final result of the US election, which will have a decisive impact on the course of the war. However, it is certain that the war will continue for a long time, and even if the United States withdraws from Europe and responds independently, it is still capable of continuing the war. Russian now it is merely using its relative advantages in firepower and troops to confront the Ukrainian army through battle of the line. 

 

The situation for Ukraine is that with the European and American remote-attack weapons and drones, they can conduct remote-attacks on important targets such as military facilities, energy production, arsenals, military warehouses, transportation hubs, command centers, etc. in the Russian hinterland, and make use of the equipment advantage to focus on attacking the Russian air defense system and various types of aero planes of the Air Force, so as to continue to weaken the Russian Air Force's equipment and combat power, even though they are restricted by Europe and the United States at present. Even under the current restrictions imposed by Europe and the United States, good results have been achieved. 

 

The previously expected summer offensives of both sides did not start, the Russian army was affected by the setback of the Kharkov offensive, while the Ukrainians kept their eyes on Crimea. Now that the Black Sea fleet has fled, the air defense system near Crimea has been hit repeatedly, and there is no technical problem to cut off the land traffic between the Kerch Bridge and Crimea, and the F-16s are already in place. The Ukrainian army is now building up its strength to further deplete the enemy and then launch an attack on Crimea at the critical time. As long as recover Crimea, it means a political victory. 

 

The so-called 10-plus years of Russian-Ukrainian border conflicts that led to the final outbreak of the war originally originated from Crimea, and the real purpose of the Russian invasion of the three eastern states of Ukraine is to link up with Crimea on land, so that they can control the sea port facing Europe. This is also the reason why Russia fought with Turkey for many years over Crimea, and the so-called NATO eastward expansion is just an excuse. As long as it controls Crimea and its eastern states, Russia can not only ensure the safety of Crimea, but also annex Ukraine and Poland, which has been annihilated many times in history, as the next step. 

 

Russia's war resources are over-consumed, in the current national military production system is impossible to make up for it, relying on foreign allies, ammunition and equipment, although it can solve the immediate emergency, but the main thing is still to see the Russian army in the battlefield whether it can achieve a decisive advantage. However, from the current situation, it seems that Russia has only gained some sporadic tactical advantages at most. And the most important thing is to look at Russia's subsequent war trend, from the present point of view there is no clear direction, completely is the state of fighting and watching. Putin can do nothing to reverse the current stalemate, both sides believe that long-term war consumption is inevitable, as long as the parties can maintain the situation is already an acceptable result. 

 

The final change in the course of the war or depend on the results of the U.S. election, such as Trump came to power in order to help Russia get rid of passive, he will certainly take extreme measures to end the war in the name of the Ukraine to carry out the suppression, if Zelensky refused to comply, or even become the focus of the target, and Russia will become the biggest beneficiary, not only can Putin maintain permanent rule, from the recent Russian armistice offer chip From the recent Russian offer of a truce, as long as the conditions for the so-called co-rule of Crimea are met, the two sides will be able to start subsequent negotiations.

 

Trump has a lot of means to put pressure on Ukraine. In the long run, Russia will definitely lose if the war between Russia and Ukraine continues, but if Trump is elected, the ultimate losers will be Ukraine and Europe. Now that the election is approaching, there are more than one sniper rifle aimed at Trump. As long as he is in power again, it will definitely lead to the fact that he will never have another full 4 years.

 

2024年8月7日 星期三

Trump said recent U.S. stock market crash was caused by old & ugly woman Harris

 



Trump attacked Kamala Devi Harris, claiming that the recent plunge in the U.S. stock market is caused by her, objectively speaking, Trump can attack her content is not much, before the repeated targeting of Biden's old age and senility Alzheimer's, simply cannot cope with the next term of office, but now the situation is completely reversed, Trump has lost the age advantage, he is already 78 years of age , the so-called age advantage of a few years has instead become a disadvantage. In addition, the recent shooting is just the beginning, the future development is expected to shoot at him will not be ordinary small-caliber rifles, but a professional sniper gun. 

 

Kamala Devi Harris is a black woman, a descendant of immigrants, an ethnic minority, a middle-aged woman, divorced, with little experience in politics and almost no track record, but she has the votes of black, ethnic minority and immigrant families, as well as the support of the Democratic Party's traditional forces. The U.S. presidential election has always been based on publicity rather than political performance, and how many people favored Trump when he ran against Hillary, and the U.S. election was also manipulated by overseas secret power. Now that the Democrats and Republicans are evenly matched, it's all about the votes in the swing states, and she has raised even more money for her campaign than Trump. 

 

Biden, on the other hand, has withdrawn from the race in a dignified manner, which is a plus for the Democrats in terms of voters. Attacking his opponent for having no political record and no experience, how much Trump had before the first election. After Trump took office, he initiated a trade war to break the balance of international trade maintained since the development of globalization, and the so-called unilateralism, "America is strong again" is just a stupid slogan, the U.S. has never weakened after World War II, and the U.S. is the original promoter and developer of globalization. The promise to move the manufacturing industry back to the United States is unrealistic, impossible and unachievable.

 

Although the economy of the United States has developed quite well during his term of office, the consequence of initiating the trade war has led to the epidemic war, which has dealt a heavy blow to the economy of the whole world, and eventually led to the failure of Trump's re-election. If he is re-elected with his strong intervention, the two-year war between Russia and Ukraine, which began in 2004 with a border conflict between the two countries, will be brought to an end, and the NATO system that was built during the Cold War will indirectly collapse. Pointing the finger at the so-called biggest competitor of the U.S. would provoke a strong reaction from the other side, and the world would again face disaster in the next epidemic. It's not easy to defeat a competitor in a 4-year term. 

 

At the same time, Putin's government actually succeeded in its plot after Russia started the war, and the competitor and Russia are the biggest allies, and the suppression of the U.S. will inevitably lead to a full-scale retaliation, and so the Middle East, the South China Sea, Middle Asia, the Taiwan Straits, Ukraine, the Korean Peninsula, Central and South America, and so on, and all the centralized governments and terrorists are uniting to launch a full-scale unlimit war on the United States. To launch a full-scale unlimited war, the whole world will be on fire from new epidemics to tactical nuclear weapons, from terrorist attacks to full-scale war invasions, from destroying the city's power system to hacking attacks on satellite networks, from a new round of epidemic viruses to attacks on the world's financial system, and so on, the full-scale war of unlimited attacks on all levels will make the U.S. exhausted and difficult to cope with.

 

As the NATO military system, which had been reactivated in the Russian-Ukrainian war, collapsed again due to Trump's intervention, a crisis of trust arose between the U.S., Europe and other Indo-Pacific countries, and the entire Western society was thrown into chaos by mutual suspicion. As a result, the global military conflict will no longer be limited by localized wars, and weapons of mass destruction, including strategic nuclear weapons, will be the first to be used by dictatorship countries, and a global nuclear war will be inevitable with mutual retaliation, and it is Trump's extreme policies that will trigger the nuclear weapons switch. After the end of World War II, mankind experienced decades of Cold War. With the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, globalization led to the development of the world's economy, and the world as a whole enjoyed several decades of peace, although regional wars continued to break out.

 

However, as a madman in the United States gained power with the secret support of Russia, he kept destroying the peace structure formed through globalization since the Cold War and engaged in extreme unilateralism in the name of the so-called "America is strong again" by destroying the world trade order. Although it is necessary to launch a trade war to suppress the world's largest dictatorship government, the world can hardly afford to pay a heavy price for it. Moreover, Russia, which Trump supports in waging war and threatening world peace by destroying the security order in Europe, is not sanctioned as a similar dictatorship, and is helping Putin to stay in power for the rest of his life at the expense of Ukraine losing its territory. This will not make the United States greater, but will result in the exact opposite.


Trump will not be able to change the world order if he takes power again for only 4 years. He will utilize the power of the US state to take extreme measures, which will inevitably lead to failure, and the hegemony of the US as the defender of the world order built up after the World War II will be lost, and the US will become a second-rate country in the world, which will be consumed repeatedly in the various kinds of unlimited wars in the world. Human beings need long-term peace, especially after the end of the Cold War, which is not easy to come by. The relatively stable world economic development and prosperity in the past few decades should be sustained, and the world needs time to make adjustments, and it is the general trend to maintain stability. 

 

Any radical policy after Trump's reelection is bound to trigger a fatal counterattack, and the next time he is shot at in a public speech or infected with the virus again. Without Russia's support, Trump's campaign is not a easy thing this time, and even if he is re-elected, it's not clear if he will survive in his four-year term, either.

 

2024年7月23日 星期二

Biden is too old and Trump is too noisy but being loud can help dodge bullets

 


Biden was pressured to drop out and is now being replaced by Kamala Devi Harris, or was it just a few days ago that Biden still insisted he would not drop out, but even now the change in attitude is not surprising. The main reason for this is twofold. Firstly, Biden's poor performance in the live broadcast of the debate with Trump was incoherent, and it should be noted that the debate was entirely controlled and organised by the Democratic Party, and the result was not that there was a superiority or inferiority between the two in terms of the content of the debate, but it was entirely due to Biden's answers that made the outside world think that he was not suitable for re-election due to his health problems, and ultimately triggered the pressure of the Democrats to force him to withdraw.

 

It is important to understand that a poor performance in one debate is not worth mentioning, and several other more appropriate debates can be arranged. But if Biden is physically unable to perform his duties, then a replacement is inevitable, but given that a change of general is too urgent with only a few months to go, it would not be in the interest of the Democratic Party to force him to drop out of the race just because of a single poor debate performance. Now that Biden's withdrawal is a fact, the internal pressure for him to withdraw has always existed from an objective point of view, but it is only now that it has finally exploded, otherwise the Democrats would never have taken the risk at such a sensitive moment.

 

Another important factor is that Trump's assassination incident, although it was a surprise, but the shock caused by the big, the shooter's bullet as long as a little more biased will hit his head, so even if it is not fatal, but also absolutely no possibility of re-election. The problem is that even now the Democrats and Republicans are still evenly matched in the election, and in the end it all comes down to the swing states. Biden is too old and Trump is too loud. If Biden were younger, he would have no problem getting re-elected, and if Trump were more careful with his words, he would have a good chance of getting re-elected. Age isn't the key, it's health. Reagan was very old but became the greatest president of all time. It's also not a problem if you don't speak out of turn. Who doesn't say something out of turn before a presidential campaign?

 

The point is that Trump's shooting is so timely that it may provoke Americans to upset the current balance of power in the race. Kamala's record is far from being comparable to that of the experienced Biden, but she has been able to absorb the votes of some women, minorities and immigrants. Americans' electoral will and order is to elect a black man to replace the white president, then a woman to replace the black president, and a minority to replace the woman, and eventually a transgender person to replace the minority, and then return to the normal electoral order. As for the so-called political performance and platform, Americans do not care. The US electoral system is already full of loopholes and extremely backward, and since the US political system has relative advantages as a guarantee, even if a fool is elected, the basic operation of the country can still be maintained. Donald Trump himself is an excellent example. Before he was elected, a significant portion of the American people did not perceive him as much better than a fool.

 

The US presidential election has never been solely an American affair, and it is a country that has been subject to very serious interference from outside forces, especially in recent decades with the spread of globalisation. Trump was elected with the support of Russia, and Biden with the help of his rivals. Now Russia has been suppressed but the competitors still have strength, so Trump until now have made it clear that he wants to immediately end the Russian-Ukrainian war and turn to suppress the competitors, is that he knows that Russia can still play a role in his re-election campaign, if the competitors to get a head start, Biden was elected, then he will certainly have no hope of re-election, and competitors and Russia and the alliance, through the end of the war as a bargaining chip By ending the war as a bargaining chip, Biden will be able to make Russia sell out its allies and help him in his re-election campaign, which is the best bargaining chip he can offer.

 

This will help Putin not to disclose the evidence that he was helped by Russia to win the election. This is why Putin has repeatedly told the Western media that the biggest enemy of Europe and the US is “the competitor, not Russia, because he has long been confident that Trump's re-election campaign would change the course of the war, and has therefore gone out of his way to offend his competitors by publicly stating his position to the West. The Democrats can't stop Trump's growing campaign, and since the bullets aren't hitting the target, there's not much else they can do unless the same thing happens again, and if they still don't hit the target, Trump will surely be back in the White House.

 

Of course, in the current situation, even if Trump escaped the assassination, but also does not show that he has gained a clear advantage, the respective support for the Democrats and Republicans of the state has not changed much, and ultimately still have to look at the swing state's electoral votes. After the shooting incident, the Democratic Party can be said to be quite decisive in replacing Biden, on He Jinli, although too hasty, but also a desperate move, if not Biden's sudden incoherence in the debate, as long as to cope with the past Trump want to be elected again this is not easy. Now that the election situation has become more complicated, it cannot be said that Trump will definitely be elected, and the subsequent development still needs to be observed through further observation.

 

2024年7月16日 星期二

Why stupidly used small-caliber rifle to help Trump back

 


As expected, Trump was shot while canvassing for votes. He was shot with a small-caliber rifle from more than 200 meters away. The possibility of hitting the target was low. Although the murderer fired 8 shots and hit the surrounding people, there was no It hurts Trump himself. Under such strict security protection measures, the ambush in a nearby building did not use a sniper rifle, but an ordinary rifle. It can be seen that it was not a professional murder. In fact, it was confirmed that the murderer was just a high school graduate. If a professional killer used a sniper rifle, he could kill him with one shot from more than 200 meters away. Afterwards, because the ambush position was exposed, the murderer was killed by a sniper watching nearby, so the shady story behind it could not be traced. This time, it hit the teleprompter and did not hit him at all. In the end, raising his hands and shouting fight was just a show. This time is very likely that he will be sent back to the White House.

 

Although assassinations of presidents and candidates are common in the United States, and the Security Service provides fairly tight protection to candidates, assassinations still occurred in the end. Internationally, in recent years, Japan's Shinzo Abe was killed at close range, and Taiwan's Chen Shui-bian was shot in a car. Chen Shui-bian's assassination was a script by a director, while Abe died due to a complete lack of security precautions. There are two possibilities for Trump's assassination this time. If you really wanted to snipe him, you could have used a right gun to succeed. The 8 bullets were not aimed at all, they were just fired in his direction. Whether you hit him or not depends on luck, and Trump had better luck and was not injured. Only the ears were scratched by debris, and no matter how big the risk is, it is worth to return to the White House. Otherwise, not to mention the lawsuits he faces, political opponents will never let him go again.

 

If re-elected, it is foreseeable that he will immediately intervene in the Russia-Ukraine war, Putin helped him become president, and he helped Russia get rid of its long-term isolation and siege internationally due to the Russia-Ukraine border conflict and the Crimea issue. As long as he comes to power, he will inevitably use various excuses to intervene in NATO's fight against Russia, and will indirectly withdraw the United States from NATO and disband it in disguise. Forcing Zelensky to trade territory for peace enabled the most blatant act of aggression since World War II. It helps Russia prevent the NATO expansion and promotes the disintegration of the organization-NATO, established during the Cold War, thus freeing Putin from the current passive situation, escaping the fate of being constantly consumed and ultimately failing, and helping him maintain his rule for life.

 

His so-called plan to unite Russia to resist China was a bluff. The ultimate goal was to unite Russia, and dealing with competitors was secondary and excuse. And whether the United States has the ability to compete with its opponents is still debatable. At least this process will take a long time, and the West has been deeply colluding with it for many years. The decoupling cannot be completed in the short to medium term, and Trump only has a term of four years at most. It is impossible to defeat the opponent in such a short period of time. The last time he forcefully suppressed the opponent, it caused a global epidemic, which ultimately led to his failure to be re-elected and to step down. The U.S. policy of supporting competitors after the Cold War has not changed until now. It hopes that the rival side can return to the original U.S.-led relationship between the two countries through internal power transfer, rather than directly competing through armed confrontation. Moreover, Europe and the United States are now concentrating all their energy on dealing with Russia. The so-called competitor is a secondary contradiction and now it is just suppression. Only after Russia's Putin is completely dealt with the West will later point the finger at his competitors.

 

If the Russian issue is abandoned halfway now, the opponent's strength is far superior to Russia, freeing Russia will also take great risks. Once it makes a comeback and unites with competitors to jointly suppress the United States and rebuild the world order, it is difficult to contend alone. Eventually, it developed into a nuclear confrontation with an unpredictable outcome, and the price paid was too high. Now Europe and the United States are gradually consuming Russia in Ukraine, and are exerting pressure and restrictions to limit the competitor dare not to participate directly. The good situation of concentrating all their efforts to solve Russia will be broken. In the end, not only will Russia get out of trouble, but the United States will also face a full-scale confrontation from its competitors. At that time, conflicts will break out in Europe, the Middle East, the Korean Peninsula, the South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait, Central Asia and other places, and totalitarian countries and terrorists around the world will unite. The United States will not only be exhausted, and it is difficult to cope with attacks from unrestricted warfare overseas and at home.

 

Therefore, even if it is inevitable for Trump to come to power again, for competitors, for Europe, for NATO, for the Democratic Party, for trade wars, for globalization, for the new epidemic, for Biden, for the United States, etc., no matter from any aspects, he will surely face flying bullets again for the sake of long-term peace of mankind, but next time it will from a small kid’s cheap caliber rifle.