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2024年10月23日 星期三

Kim Jong-un sending troops to Ukraine is like a beggar giving Trump gifts and asking Putin for money


DPRK Kim Jong-un sent troops to the war was speculated, the United States said it may change the course of the Russian-Ukrainian war, Ukraine's reaction to this is not too strong, but still want to get more Western aid through the DPRK troops, the United States in fact is not concerned about the DPRK troops, the so-called change the course of the war is in fact the claim is to hope that Kim Jong-un is more involved in the war in Russia and Ukraine, instead of letting the DPRK army display millions of troops on the border all year round with the U.S. and South Korea to confront each other, but also better to send to the Ukrainian battlefield for depletion. In the face of Ukraine's nearly 700,000 square kilometres of land, nearly 200,000 square kilometres of vastness of the war, the two sides of the dogfight position consumption war, even if the DPRK troops 100,000 will not help, in the face of drones, missiles, heavy artillery, tanks, white phosphorus bombs, cluster bombs, aerial strikes, etc., the world's second largest military power cannot do anything about it, let alone the DPRK army of the 580 grams per day of food supply control.

 

Although the DPRK has the world's third largest army of 1.2 million soldiers, only 500,000 of them can be transported to the front line to fight in the war, and they need to undergo all-round training and replenishment. The DPRK also has the world's largest special forces of over 100,000 men, but they may not be much superior to Russian special forces in terms of weaponry, tactical use, combat experience and will to fight, but the reality is that most of the Russian army's experienced special forces have been depleted. DPR troops sent to the environment is not familiar with the foreign battlefield, the face of the western superior weapons of the all-round blow, the two sides of the village by village, settlement by settlement, position by position consumption, the Russian army need to pay the price of more than a thousand people every day, but also can only move forward a few tens of meters of the battle, the DPR army, even if the fighting strength is strong, but also cannot withstand the Ukrainian army's firepower consumption.

 

Special operations to implement small-scale tactical infiltration, secret attacks on specific targets, the implementation of decapitation operations, etc. to have a miraculous effect, if the large-scale formed combat then become a general force, nothing more than equipment, combat effectiveness and will to fight a little stronger. The infiltration of South Korea and the beheading of the president could not be repeated in the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, after all, it is in a completely different war environment. North Korea has already sent troops to the war, but not many, in the future will gradually increase the number of troops, but unless more than 100,000 troops, and centralized use instead of splitting the troops around to help the war, basically will not have a big impact on the war situation. North Korea gets the energy, food and military technology it wants most through Russia, and is thus free from the perennial control of its neighbor’s, and its recent show of assertiveness towards South Korea is just a traditional means of attracting global attention in exchange for economic benefits. 

 

North Korea's attack on South Korea opens up a new theatre of war, and in conjunction with the war in the Middle East forces the West to divert its troops, thus easing the pressure on Russia to go to war. But after all, with Israel's overwhelming military superiority in the Middle East and Russia's stalemate in the war in Ukraine, it is unlikely that North Korea will attack South Korea at the same time it sends troops to Ukraine. If the DPRK sends troops to assist Russia's first condition is to maintain the stability of the peninsula, if the attack on South Korea will not be possible to split the troops in Ukraine. The DPRK army's equipment is seriously backward and most of the equipment is nearly obsolete, the fighting force is limited military capability is insufficient, the soldiers due to lack of food cannot even carry out normal duties, how easy it is to launch a large-scale war. Moreover, the DPRK has been sending its ammunition stockpile to Russia in exchange for economic benefits. Kim Jong-un is now trying his best to train his daughter to take power and move to the front stage, and he will not easily go to war and gamble on the fate of the country to start a direct conflict with the U.S., Japan and South Korea. 

 

The only thing he is doing now is to send a limited number of troops to Russia in exchange for food, energy and military technology. Kim Jong-un calculating the United States election is approaching, old friend Trump is likely to once again stay in the White House, so naturally want to make some things out, as a bargaining chip in dealing with the new U.S. president. The so-called bombing of the main transport route to South Korea is in fact a route that has not been used for decades. By amending the constitution to give up reunification and declare South Korea as an enemy, the status quo of the two countries is now that of an enemy state. Launching a war against South Korea is even more borderline. Since the ammunition and troops have to go to Ukraine, what else to fight with.







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