Israel attacked Iran's
nuclear facilities and eliminated most of the leaders of its armed forces and
nuclear experts. In response, Iran raised its red flag as a sign of retaliation
and launched a large number of missiles and drones against Israel, causing
minimal damage. Militarily, Israel has no difficulty annihilating Iran, but the
biggest issue remains the United States' stance. After Trump took office, U.S.
policy toward Iran shifted, allowing Israel to strike Iran's nuclear program
without American interference. Although Iran could produce around 20 nuclear
bombs within a few months, Israel's strikes, while not completely destroying
Iran's nuclear facilities, will significantly delay its nuclear development.
The formation of Iran's
theocratic regime was entirely due to U.S. support. In the 1950s, the U.S.,
under Eisenhower, collaborated with the UK to overthrow Iran's communist regime
and install the Pahlavi Shah. Iran entered a golden era: its economy soared,
society became open and secularized, women could wear skirts without
headscarves, and young people enjoyed rock music and Coca-Cola. Iran's economy
ranked among the world's top ten, with robust energy exports and increasing
government revenue, leading to rapid societal development and improved living
standards. Tehran became a Middle Eastern version of the "American
Dream." At that time, Iran, the U.S., and Israel were staunch allies with
close ties in the region.
However, in 1979,
remnants of Iranian communists allied with religious extremists took to the
streets, sparking a revolution marked by riots, vandalism, and chaos. The
Shah's police suppressed the protests, inadvertently killing a few religious
students. This ignited outrage among American "white liberals,"
particularly under President Carter, who championed "human rights."
Driven by political correctness, Carter condemned the Shah's
"tyranny," issuing warnings and threatening sanctions if force was
used again. Protests escalated, spreading from Tehran across the country. Under
pressure from Carter, the Shah was forced into exile, paving the way for
Khomeini's return from the U.S. and rise to power. In his memoirs, the Shah
confessed to Egyptian President Sadat, "I trusted the Americans and was
betrayed by Carter."
After Khomeini took
power, he implemented theocratic rule, ending secularization and transforming
Iran from a "Middle Eastern America" into a "theocratic
republic." The Iran-Iraq War, initiated by Khomeini, lasted eight years,
killed over a million people, and displaced millions of refugees, turning the
Middle East into a war-torn region. Khomeini also supported Hezbollah, the
Houthis, Hamas, and Syria's Assad regime, turning the Middle East into his
"backyard" and fueling endless conflicts driven by terrorist
organizations. After Khomeini's death, power passed to Khamenei, and Iran
became a fully theocratic state, repeatedly threatening to destroy Israel.
Meanwhile, American liberals from Carter to Clinton, Obama, and Biden have
shown fear toward Iran. Obama's "Iran Nuclear Deal" provided funds,
lifted international sanctions, and emboldened Iran, which used this
"goodwill" to advance its nuclear program with the aim of destroying
Israel and dominating the Middle East.
Iran's current state is entirely the responsibility of the U.S. With Trump's presidency, U.S. Middle East policy has shifted, enabling Israel to intensify its crackdown on Iran's theocratic regime. Ironically, Khamenei is of Azerbaijani descent, and the current theocratic government is not controlled by ethnic Persians. Khomeini’s lineage is closer to North Indian. In recent years, the Iranian government has faced growing domestic protests, and during Israel's attacks, many locals reportedly celebrated the strikes.From a military perspective, Iran's theocratic regime lacks the strength to confront the U.S. and Israel and has lost popular support domestically. With Hamas nearly eliminated and Syria's Assad regime toppled, if the U.S. does not intervene, Israel’s military strength could systematically dismantle Middle Eastern terrorist forces.
Iran has already been thoroughly infiltrated by Israel, and this attack demonstrates that Israel could assassinate Khamenei at any time, potentially ending Iran's theocratic rule. However, the critical factor remains the United States' stance.
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