America defeated Germany and Japan in 3 Years, now 'Trumple' loses to China just 30 days

 

The unexpected announcement of the US-China trade negotiation results indicates that the US will impose a 30% tariff on China, while China will impose a 10% tariff on the US. Combined with the 20% tariff from 2018, China faces roughly 50% tariffs overall. The trade war will pause for 90 days, with further negotiations on other issues to follow.

Most of the 20% tariff from 2018 has been mitigated by China through methods like transshipment and overseas exports. The mutual 10% tariffs offset each other, leaving an effective tariff of about 20%. Producers, importers, and consumers each bear a portion, with China’s export tax rebates and recent RMB depreciation further cushioning the impact. Additionally, the US applies a baseline tariff of around 10% to other countries, suggesting that the trade dispute between the two nations is largely resolved. While there may be fluctuations after the 90-day period, the general direction is set. Trump’s tariff drama with China is on hold, but he will likely continue pressuring other countries. Except for the EU and Japan, most nations lack the economic strength to counter the US. China, the most resistant, faces 30% tariffs, while others will likely face around 20% on average, with specific items varying.

Debating who won or lost this round is less meaningful than recognizing that the trade dispute hasn’t worsened. The US and China account for over a third of the global economy, and a tariff war threatens not only both nations but also global economic stability. The instigator, Trump, a failed businessman who has gone bankrupt six times, has relied on Russian funds to bail himself out and has no notable success in commercial trade. His approach—self-serving and damaging to others—mirrors his governance: driven by personal whims, marked by erratic statements, inconsistent strategies, chaotic negotiations, and a lack of credibility. He bullies the weak while fearing the strong. Decoupling from China requires a national strategy, allied coordination, long-term planning, and a focus on ideological differences rather than trade disputes. Suppression should target authoritarian leaders, not their people.

Trump’s tariff war against the world has backfired, with China’s counterstrike forcing a compromise. Post-WWII globalization, driven by US military and economic dominance, matured after the Cold War. The US specializes in high-tech innovation, and manufacturing revival is infeasible due to high costs. Without Chinese imports, the US economy would stall, as entire supply chains vanished decades ago and cannot be rebuilt quickly. Decoupling from China’s full industrial chain would take over a decade. During the late Cold War, the US allied with China against the Soviets, and globalization was a US-led project. Until Trump’s presidency, the US and China were strategic partners, benefiting mutually.

However, new leaders—amateur politicians—have ushered in a post-Cold War strategic rivalry, with “allying with Russia against the US” and “US-China decoupling” souring relations. This has fractured global peace, splitting the world into opposing camps. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the US-China trade war signal an economic world war through tariffs, dismantling the post-Cold War order. The culprits—autocratic leaders in the US, China, and Russia—share similar ideologies: “Make America Great Again,” “Russian ethnic revival,” and the “Chinese Dream.” To pursue these fantasies, they’ve disrupted global peace, prioritizing personal will over national interests and law, waging unrestricted warfare that harms people and destabilizes the planet, regressing history to pre-Cold War chaos.

The trade negotiation outcome warns Trump that he cannot act unchecked. The stalemate in Ukraine shows Putin that the era of might-makes-right is over. China, integrated into global trade, cannot sustain a full confrontation with the West. Its economic pillars—exports and real estate—are crumbling, with the property bubble already burst. Further export suppression could trigger economic collapse, threatening the ruling party’s legitimacy. Thus, the trade war is a political, not just economic, issue. Trump has identified China’s vulnerability, and persistence could yield long-term success. However, decoupling and collapsing China’s economy benefits neither the US, the Chinese people, nor global stability. China’s unique role as the world’s factory, with its unmatched industrial chain, is irreplaceable.

Without allies, the US cannot economically overpower China. Trump’s unilateral, ego-driven trade war is doomed, and his compromise is inevitable—a complete defeat. If “making America great” results in soaring prices, empty shelves, and economic strife—where families argue over costs, children lack toys or computers, and jobless husbands face broken marriages—what does this “greatness” mean? As long as Trump remains in power, America’s decline is certain. His folly and recklessness led to the US defeating Germany and Japan in WWII in three years, yet in this trade war with China, he was defeated in just one month!