Losing Taiwan, the United States will become a second-rate country

 

If the United States does not intervene, the rival's so-called grand cause of reunification of the motherland - Taiwan, will surely succeed. This is not entirely based on the absolute superiority of military power. Under the strategy of "no people left on the island", the war can be prolonged for a long time regardless of the cost. Moreover, the methods of warfare are varied.  As long as submarines and mines are used to cut off Taiwan’s energy input for three months, the island’s hidden political, economic, and military forces that have been active on the island for many years can operate in public. All sorts of over-limit means messed up, and finally the United Parties dispatched to clean up the mess. The comprehensive and ingenious means of penetration on the other side have been fully demonstrated in the civil war. Therefore, military means are nothing more than the help of political means. Without the intervention of the United States, the price paid is small, and even comprehensive military measures are not required. 

If the United States loses Taiwan, then the Western Pacific will have no power to stop its "rivals" from developing. After the opponent's reunification is completed, it will immediately support North Korea in launching a war to reunify the peninsula to merge South Korea, and then use the Korean peninsula and Taiwan as bases to infiltrate Japan. The United States needs to transfer its military power to East Asia. Even if the United States has more than one hundred military bases in Japan, it cannot do anything if it faces a long-term full-scale confrontation. In particular, both sides are the world’s largest economies and possess the world’s most powerful nuclear weapons. At the same time, "competitors" are bound to push military power to Southeast Asia without huge military price. The naval strength of the entire Southeast Asia is not as strong as the opponent's one fleet. Moreover, these countries lose the support of the United States, they will fall into the arms of "opponents" from all sides. 

Not to mention the fact that overseas Chinese control the lifeblood of Southeast Asia's economy. Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia and other countries have close relations with the "big country". Singapore, Thailand and Malaysia have a high percentage of Chinese. In fact, even the Philippines has adopted a strategy of approaching "new power" in recent years. In the southwest, the United States has withdrawn troops from Afghanistan. In this way, Pakistan and Afghanistan are connected, and opponents can even penetrate into the Middle East through the Afghan alliance. If American forces are driven out of the Pacific, Russia will immediately take the opportunity to launch a military attack on Ukraine. There is no military obstacle to Russia's annexation of Ukraine, so NATO's further eastward expansion can be prevented. Then Russia will unite with its partners to redistribute its sphere of influence in Central Asia. 

Iran and Syria are allies, the Taliban in Afghanistan are powerful in the Middle East, and the Islamic State is the main anti-American force. As long as they have financial aid, they can form a common alliance. Europe has remained neutral in the new Cold War and has been slow to isolate itself from American competitors. If the United States declines, Europe will inevitably start all-round cooperation with American competitors. The economic integration of the two is difficult to separate, and all-round confrontation is simply not qualified. In this way, the United States was completely reduced to a second-rate country, with its own left-wing forces at the forefront, implementing a comprehensive and thorough socialist transformation, and becoming a country under the control of its opponents. 

The current government has shifted from full confrontation to partial confrontation, claiming that it is unwilling to change the status quo of its opponents, and has continued to make concessions to seek continued cooperation from the suspension of trade wars to the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan, the cessation of tracing the source of the virus to the release of corporate female executives, etc. Originally, the so-called international politics is the transfer of interests and compromise under the control of various forces. With the tough attitude of its opponents, the United States has continued to make concessions, and internal forces have begun to surface and continue to cooperate, and have even developed to fully manipulate its own elections. The infiltration of interests over the years has made the United States from the Democratic Party, traditional leftists, various media, numerous technology companies, Wall Street financial capital, and most large corporations, secretly and indirectly controlled by competitors.  

If it were to start a sudden war now, the U.S. government would only at best condemn it verbally, and the formal sanctions would be a cutscene. It is obvious how impossible it is to protect Taiwan with all its strength. After the rise of new great powers, the developing countries of the third world in Africa, Asia, and the Latin America will all unite under the banner of the ideology of their opponents and strong capital, and the world structure will be completely changed. The United States has become a second-rate country that no one cares about and is despised.