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2024年10月31日 星期四

Kim Jong-un, joined the war to saving food, getting money and weapons, has won 3 times already

 


It has been confirmed by all parties that North Korea will send troops to Ukraine, initially more than 10,000 people from one division will be sent to the battlefield in Ukraine after training, but according to the current situation, it is not a special force of North Korea, but young recruits who have been selected, and this time, the troops can receive about 200 million US dollars of aid from neighbouring countries, and the majority of the soldiers' monthly salary of 2,000 US dollars will go into Kim Jong-un's personal pockets, and only a very small amount will benefit the soldiers and their families, and even if it is consumed during the war, it will also save food for North Korean military. 

 

It is hard to say how the direct deployment of troops by North Korea will affect the war situation. From the point of view of the initial strength of one division, it will not change the war situation, but it will have a role to play in the acceleration of NATO's troop deployment. At least France has already made its attitude towards troop deployment clear in May, and a company of reconnaissance troops has already begun to conduct a field inspection, but it is said that they have suffered a great deal of casualties in a short period of time, and so we have not heard of any news of the French troops' deployment lately. 

 

It is rumoured that Korean troops will be stationed in the Kursk region to help the Russians regain their lost territory, but it is difficult to verify this. If the troops are dispersed and stationed in different positions to carry out regular warfare, the Korean troops lack basic training, have poor physical fitness, are unfamiliar with the new weapons and equipment, and have no knowledge of high-tech warfare, so it is difficult for them to adapt to the new battlefield environment quickly. It was even difficult for them to carry out the orders correctly because they did not speak the language. 

 

The most important thing is who should be in command of the troops. If the troops were under the command of Korean officers, they should be more powerful, but Korean officers lacked the experience of the Russian army in the battlefield, so direct combat would probably result in great casualties. If the troops are dispersed into Russian units, they are just ordinary recruits. Moreover, the troops sent by the DPRK this time are not the main force of the DPRK army, but are general troops recruited and transferred to the battlefield after a short period of training by the Russian army. 

 

It is impossible for the army to remain unaffected by the years of sanctions imposed by the DPRK. The daily food supply for ordinary troops is only 500 grams or so, which makes it very difficult to perform duties, not to mention basic military training. Due to the long-term malnutrition of the nationals, the height requirement for enlisting male soldiers is only 1.45 metres, and the first thing that soldiers of this quality have to do is to replenish nutrients to recover their physical strength and to adjust their bodies to keep them in good health before they can undergo adapted military training. 

 

Of course, there is no doubt about the will of the DPRK army to fight, especially its main force, but after all, in the present high-tech environment of modern warfare, in the face of Ukraine's superiority in weaponry with the support of the West, it is naturally out of place to rely on the tactics of the past. Although the number of North Korean troops participating in the war is not large, with the needs of the war, if we can deploy 10 divisions of more than 100,000 troops, or can play a role in the battlefield. At least after accumulating some combat experience, they can replace the Russian army for rest and recuperation, fill the holes in the battle line, assist in completing military projects, and share some of the combat tasks. 

 

Now that the Russian and Ukrainian armies are locked in a stalemate, and all sides have a high demand for additional troops, a large increase in the number of North Korean troops would be very favourable to the Russian army in every way. Moreover, the Korean army has traditionally inherited the Soviet Union's establishment, and has recently supplied a large number of weapons to the Russian army, so the Korean army is very familiar with the use of self-produced weapons. The Korean army is familiar with the use of its own weapons. It is difficult for the Korean army to bring its combat power into full play in the battlefield of Russia and Ukraine, where it has been consuming a lot of troops, and facing the attack of Ukraine's superior weapons and equipments. 

 

However, if the DPRK continues to increase its troops, it will at least have a numerical advantage. South Korea is now sensitive to North Korea's response to the troops, in order to provide weapons and ammunition to Ukraine and send military personnel, if the South Korean troops to participate in the war will have a significant impact on the Russian-Ukrainian war, so that is equivalent to North Korea and South Korea in the Ukrainian war officially started, the development of which will naturally lead to the Korean Peninsula, the development of direct war, and ultimately lead to the Chinese, Japanese and U.S. parties involved in the process. 

 

It is inevitable that the war between North Korea and NATO will deteriorate into a world war between Russia and Ukraine. However, from what we have seen so far, the scale of North Korea's troop deployment is not large and the number of troops is not large, not the main force is completely of a trial nature, and the subsequent large-scale deployment of formed and regular main force is doubtful. Kim Jong-un's million-strong army is ill-equipped with limited combat power, and if a large number of troops are consumed overseas, it will directly affect his family's rule in Korea.  


It would be more in line with Kim Jong-un's long-term goal to exchange Russia's food, energy, military equipment, technology and neighbouring countries' economic interests for a limited number of troops, and then make adjustments as the future develops. Therefore, the participation of North Korean troops in the war should not be over-interpreted, and from the present point of view, it is just a means for Kim Jong-un to earn foreign exchange.

 

 

 

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