Biden was pressured to drop out and is
now being replaced by Kamala Devi Harris, or was it just a few days ago that Biden still
insisted he would not drop out, but even now the change in attitude is not
surprising. The main reason for this is twofold. Firstly, Biden's poor
performance in the live broadcast of the debate with Trump was incoherent, and
it should be noted that the debate was entirely controlled and organised by the
Democratic Party, and the result was not that there was a superiority or
inferiority between the two in terms of the content of the debate, but it was
entirely due to Biden's answers that made the outside world think that he was
not suitable for re-election due to his health problems, and ultimately
triggered the pressure of the Democrats to force him to withdraw.
It is important to understand that a
poor performance in one debate is not worth mentioning, and several other more
appropriate debates can be arranged. But if Biden is physically unable to
perform his duties, then a replacement is inevitable, but given that a change
of general is too urgent with only a few months to go, it would not be in the
interest of the Democratic Party to force him to drop out of the race just
because of a single poor debate performance. Now that Biden's withdrawal is a
fact, the internal pressure for him to withdraw has always existed from an
objective point of view, but it is only now that it has finally exploded,
otherwise the Democrats would never have taken the risk at such a sensitive
moment.
Another important factor is that
Trump's assassination incident, although it was a surprise, but the shock
caused by the big, the shooter's bullet as long as a little more biased will
hit his head, so even if it is not fatal, but also absolutely no possibility of
re-election. The problem is that even now the Democrats and Republicans are
still evenly matched in the election, and in the end it all comes down to the
swing states. Biden is too old and Trump is too loud. If Biden were younger, he
would have no problem getting re-elected, and if Trump were more careful with
his words, he would have a good chance of getting re-elected. Age isn't the
key, it's health. Reagan was very old but became the greatest president of all
time. It's also not a problem if you don't speak out of turn. Who doesn't say
something out of turn before a presidential campaign?
The point is that Trump's shooting is
so timely that it may provoke Americans to upset the current balance of power
in the race. Kamala's record is far from being comparable to that of the experienced
Biden, but she has been able to absorb the votes of some women, minorities and
immigrants. Americans' electoral will and order is to elect a black man to
replace the white president, then a woman to replace the black president, and a
minority to replace the woman, and eventually a transgender person to replace
the minority, and then return to the normal electoral order. As for the
so-called political performance and platform, Americans do not care. The US
electoral system is already full of loopholes and extremely backward, and since
the US political system has relative advantages as a guarantee, even if a fool
is elected, the basic operation of the country can still be maintained. Donald
Trump himself is an excellent example. Before he was elected, a significant
portion of the American people did not perceive him as much better than a fool.
The US presidential election has never
been solely an American affair, and it is a country that has been subject to
very serious interference from outside forces, especially in recent decades
with the spread of globalisation. Trump was elected with the support of Russia,
and Biden with the help of his rivals. Now Russia has been suppressed but the
competitors still have strength, so Trump until now have made it clear that he
wants to immediately end the Russian-Ukrainian war and turn to suppress the competitors,
is that he knows that Russia can still play a role in his re-election campaign,
if the competitors to get a head start, Biden was elected, then he will
certainly have no hope of re-election, and competitors and Russia and the
alliance, through the end of the war as a bargaining chip By ending the war as
a bargaining chip, Biden will be able to make Russia sell out its allies and
help him in his re-election campaign, which is the best bargaining chip he can
offer.
This will help Putin not to disclose
the evidence that he was helped by Russia to win the election. This is why
Putin has repeatedly told the Western media that the biggest enemy of Europe
and the US is “the competitor”, not Russia, because he has long been confident that Trump's
re-election campaign would change the course of the war, and has therefore gone
out of his way to offend his competitors by publicly stating his position to
the West. The Democrats can't stop Trump's growing campaign, and since the
bullets aren't hitting the target, there's not much else they can do unless the
same thing happens again, and if they still don't hit the target, Trump will
surely be back in the White House.
Of course, in the current situation,
even if Trump escaped the assassination, but also does not show that he has
gained a clear advantage, the respective support for the Democrats and
Republicans of the state has not changed much, and ultimately still have to
look at the swing state's electoral votes. After the shooting incident, the
Democratic Party can be said to be quite decisive in replacing Biden, on He
Jinli, although too hasty, but also a desperate move, if not Biden's sudden
incoherence in the debate, as long as to cope with the past Trump want to be
elected again this is not easy. Now that the election situation has
become more complicated, it cannot be said that Trump will definitely be
elected, and the subsequent development still needs to be observed through
further observation.
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