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2024年7月23日 星期二

Biden is too old and Trump is too noisy but being loud can help dodge bullets

 


Biden was pressured to drop out and is now being replaced by Kamala Devi Harris, or was it just a few days ago that Biden still insisted he would not drop out, but even now the change in attitude is not surprising. The main reason for this is twofold. Firstly, Biden's poor performance in the live broadcast of the debate with Trump was incoherent, and it should be noted that the debate was entirely controlled and organised by the Democratic Party, and the result was not that there was a superiority or inferiority between the two in terms of the content of the debate, but it was entirely due to Biden's answers that made the outside world think that he was not suitable for re-election due to his health problems, and ultimately triggered the pressure of the Democrats to force him to withdraw.

 

It is important to understand that a poor performance in one debate is not worth mentioning, and several other more appropriate debates can be arranged. But if Biden is physically unable to perform his duties, then a replacement is inevitable, but given that a change of general is too urgent with only a few months to go, it would not be in the interest of the Democratic Party to force him to drop out of the race just because of a single poor debate performance. Now that Biden's withdrawal is a fact, the internal pressure for him to withdraw has always existed from an objective point of view, but it is only now that it has finally exploded, otherwise the Democrats would never have taken the risk at such a sensitive moment.

 

Another important factor is that Trump's assassination incident, although it was a surprise, but the shock caused by the big, the shooter's bullet as long as a little more biased will hit his head, so even if it is not fatal, but also absolutely no possibility of re-election. The problem is that even now the Democrats and Republicans are still evenly matched in the election, and in the end it all comes down to the swing states. Biden is too old and Trump is too loud. If Biden were younger, he would have no problem getting re-elected, and if Trump were more careful with his words, he would have a good chance of getting re-elected. Age isn't the key, it's health. Reagan was very old but became the greatest president of all time. It's also not a problem if you don't speak out of turn. Who doesn't say something out of turn before a presidential campaign?

 

The point is that Trump's shooting is so timely that it may provoke Americans to upset the current balance of power in the race. Kamala's record is far from being comparable to that of the experienced Biden, but she has been able to absorb the votes of some women, minorities and immigrants. Americans' electoral will and order is to elect a black man to replace the white president, then a woman to replace the black president, and a minority to replace the woman, and eventually a transgender person to replace the minority, and then return to the normal electoral order. As for the so-called political performance and platform, Americans do not care. The US electoral system is already full of loopholes and extremely backward, and since the US political system has relative advantages as a guarantee, even if a fool is elected, the basic operation of the country can still be maintained. Donald Trump himself is an excellent example. Before he was elected, a significant portion of the American people did not perceive him as much better than a fool.

 

The US presidential election has never been solely an American affair, and it is a country that has been subject to very serious interference from outside forces, especially in recent decades with the spread of globalisation. Trump was elected with the support of Russia, and Biden with the help of his rivals. Now Russia has been suppressed but the competitors still have strength, so Trump until now have made it clear that he wants to immediately end the Russian-Ukrainian war and turn to suppress the competitors, is that he knows that Russia can still play a role in his re-election campaign, if the competitors to get a head start, Biden was elected, then he will certainly have no hope of re-election, and competitors and Russia and the alliance, through the end of the war as a bargaining chip By ending the war as a bargaining chip, Biden will be able to make Russia sell out its allies and help him in his re-election campaign, which is the best bargaining chip he can offer.

 

This will help Putin not to disclose the evidence that he was helped by Russia to win the election. This is why Putin has repeatedly told the Western media that the biggest enemy of Europe and the US is “the competitor, not Russia, because he has long been confident that Trump's re-election campaign would change the course of the war, and has therefore gone out of his way to offend his competitors by publicly stating his position to the West. The Democrats can't stop Trump's growing campaign, and since the bullets aren't hitting the target, there's not much else they can do unless the same thing happens again, and if they still don't hit the target, Trump will surely be back in the White House.

 

Of course, in the current situation, even if Trump escaped the assassination, but also does not show that he has gained a clear advantage, the respective support for the Democrats and Republicans of the state has not changed much, and ultimately still have to look at the swing state's electoral votes. After the shooting incident, the Democratic Party can be said to be quite decisive in replacing Biden, on He Jinli, although too hasty, but also a desperate move, if not Biden's sudden incoherence in the debate, as long as to cope with the past Trump want to be elected again this is not easy. Now that the election situation has become more complicated, it cannot be said that Trump will definitely be elected, and the subsequent development still needs to be observed through further observation.

 

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