Either Trump is assassinated and the war continues, or Zelensky is killed and the war ends

 Zelensky held a welcoming ceremony for the newly arrived F-16s. The newly arrived fighters are not even painted, but labelled as Ukraine's new fighters, and it is estimated that by the end of the year, there will be 20 fighters, and the total number of the fighters has already exceeded 100, not including the other models donated by the European countries in the future. In fact, for Ukraine, how many fighters can be satisfied, not counting the various types of fighters produced in Europe, that is, the United States retired and sealed fighters there are thousands, as for the pilots, the West has already made it clear that it can be resolved through the recruitment of volunteer pilots. 

 

Therefore, the F-16s are just a cover, and the announcement of the official participation in the war is to observe Russia's subsequent reaction. If, as always, it is a verbal nuclear threat, then the increase in the number of follow-on fighters will be accelerated. If Russia overreacts, then the opposite will happen. Therefore, there is no doubt that Ukraine will gain air superiority in the future, and the timing will be completely controlled by Europe and the US. 

 

For Ukraine, apart from the uncertainty of Donald Trump, there is no question of the war continuing in any other way. Funding and ammunition continue to be replenished, more advanced and targeted weapons continue to flow in, and the two sides are now at a stalemate, with neither side able to make any more progress on the battlefield. At this point in the Russian-Ukrainian war, the most important thing for all parties is the final result of the US election, which will have a decisive impact on the course of the war. However, it is certain that the war will continue for a long time, and even if the United States withdraws from Europe and responds independently, it is still capable of continuing the war. Russian now it is merely using its relative advantages in firepower and troops to confront the Ukrainian army through battle of the line. 

 

The situation for Ukraine is that with the European and American remote-attack weapons and drones, they can conduct remote-attacks on important targets such as military facilities, energy production, arsenals, military warehouses, transportation hubs, command centers, etc. in the Russian hinterland, and make use of the equipment advantage to focus on attacking the Russian air defense system and various types of aero planes of the Air Force, so as to continue to weaken the Russian Air Force's equipment and combat power, even though they are restricted by Europe and the United States at present. Even under the current restrictions imposed by Europe and the United States, good results have been achieved. 

 

The previously expected summer offensives of both sides did not start, the Russian army was affected by the setback of the Kharkov offensive, while the Ukrainians kept their eyes on Crimea. Now that the Black Sea fleet has fled, the air defense system near Crimea has been hit repeatedly, and there is no technical problem to cut off the land traffic between the Kerch Bridge and Crimea, and the F-16s are already in place. The Ukrainian army is now building up its strength to further deplete the enemy and then launch an attack on Crimea at the critical time. As long as recover Crimea, it means a political victory. 

 

The so-called 10-plus years of Russian-Ukrainian border conflicts that led to the final outbreak of the war originally originated from Crimea, and the real purpose of the Russian invasion of the three eastern states of Ukraine is to link up with Crimea on land, so that they can control the sea port facing Europe. This is also the reason why Russia fought with Turkey for many years over Crimea, and the so-called NATO eastward expansion is just an excuse. As long as it controls Crimea and its eastern states, Russia can not only ensure the safety of Crimea, but also annex Ukraine and Poland, which has been annihilated many times in history, as the next step. 

 

Russia's war resources are over-consumed, in the current national military production system is impossible to make up for it, relying on foreign allies, ammunition and equipment, although it can solve the immediate emergency, but the main thing is still to see the Russian army in the battlefield whether it can achieve a decisive advantage. However, from the current situation, it seems that Russia has only gained some sporadic tactical advantages at most. And the most important thing is to look at Russia's subsequent war trend, from the present point of view there is no clear direction, completely is the state of fighting and watching. Putin can do nothing to reverse the current stalemate, both sides believe that long-term war consumption is inevitable, as long as the parties can maintain the situation is already an acceptable result. 

 

The final change in the course of the war or depend on the results of the U.S. election, such as Trump came to power in order to help Russia get rid of passive, he will certainly take extreme measures to end the war in the name of the Ukraine to carry out the suppression, if Zelensky refused to comply, or even become the focus of the target, and Russia will become the biggest beneficiary, not only can Putin maintain permanent rule, from the recent Russian armistice offer chip From the recent Russian offer of a truce, as long as the conditions for the so-called co-rule of Crimea are met, the two sides will be able to start subsequent negotiations.

 

Trump has a lot of means to put pressure on Ukraine. In the long run, Russia will definitely lose if the war between Russia and Ukraine continues, but if Trump is elected, the ultimate losers will be Ukraine and Europe. Now that the election is approaching, there are more than one sniper rifle aimed at Trump. As long as he is in power again, it will definitely lead to the fact that he will never have another full 4 years.