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2023年3月24日 星期五

The big leader said to Putin " conduct yourself well and farewell"

 


The Chinese leaders visited Russia to start the so-called "peace trip". In fact, it was nothing more than expressing their support for Russia's confrontation with Europe and the United States. The two sides signed a series of agreements related to energy, food, commerce, high-tech products, etc. There was no cooperation agreement reached in the military. Although secretly limited cooperation has been carried out through third-party manufacturers, such as chips, satellite images, individual combat rations, drones, etc., China continues to support Russia through various means, but the overall scale is limited and it is not comprehensive cooperation. Putin has been the leader of Sino-Russian relations for many years. He is very good at using the relationship between the two countries to gain political, economic and diplomatic interests. He himself is very disgusted with neighboring countries. The platforms are all at the cost of energy contracts worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

 

The former Chinese side also adopted a very indifferent wait-and-see attitude towards Putin. It is impossible to talk about so-called comprehensive cooperation with Russia, and it will never be considered that China and Russia jointly offend the West. Due to personal likes and dislikes, the main purpose of adopting a "one-sided" policy in the past was not so much to unite Russia and oppose the United States as to maintain personal rule. Because China's foreign relations in the era of rivers and lakes were entirely based on the integration of interests supported by Europe and the United States. Without international confrontation against the United States, the return of the former regime would inevitably have a fatal impact on the current rule. Therefore, the trade war launched by Trump is not so much a separation of the West from China as an active decoupling of China from Europe and the United States. As long as this regime can be maintained, Korean family rule is an inevitable choice. Economic depression and livelihood difficulties are not considered. It is the best soil for totalitarian rule.

 

Supporting Putin's visit to Russia is a response to Biden's visit to Ukraine, and it is actually meaningless to promote peace between Russia and Ukraine. The essence of this posture of the two countries confronting the West can only show one thing, that is, the war cannot end in a short period of time and will last for a long time. The economic and trade cooperation adopted by China provides Russia with part of the funds to maintain the war, while Russia exchanges energy and food. In fact, this is just the deepening of economic and trade cooperation between the two sides over the years, without any substantive in-depth progress. On the contrary, if China can take the initiative to express its military cooperation, then even the assistance of large-caliber artillery shells will solve Russia's urgent need. For China, it is not a problem to provide military aid, but the problem is how long the war can last according to the decline shown by Russia on the battlefield? How long can President Putin last? Is he running for the presidential election next year? Can he run for re-election? The comprehensive ability of the Russian army on the battlefield is low, whether it is from equipment to combat effectiveness, from morale to battlefield management, from intelligence to logistics supplies, etc., it is far from its status as the second largest military power in the world.

 

Recently, it has developed to the point where T-55 tanks are pulled out of abandoned warehouses for repair and sent to the front line, because the old T-62 tanks are almost consumed. Casualties in more than one year since the start of the war are conservatively estimated at 200,000, and the initial invasion of Ukraine was 20 divisions. The advanced ground armor weapons provided by Europe and the United States to aid Ukraine are already in place, and a major counteroffensive will soon be launched. The armed forces for air superiority are also being assembled, and they are still sticking to ground warfare. The purpose is to consume the personnel and equipment of the Russian army. In the final analysis, it is deliberately delaying time. As for the so-called nuclear button, anyone who dares to activate it will face retaliation. The United States has a strategic missile defense system and Russia does not. Rather than saying that NATO expanded eastward to suppress Russia, it is better to say that after World War II, the Soviet Union moved westward and returned to the original point. Although President Putin is still strong, he still has the ability to pull China into the water, but the question now is that more than half of the military equipment and personnel have been consumed in more than a year, and what will happen if the war drags on for another year.

 

This is also the reason why China does not dare to propose all-round military cooperation and assistance. The precondition for the so-called protracted war between Russia and Ukraine is that the Russian army is still able to fight. And this is currently the biggest uncertain factor. Putin will win the election next year, because there is no one who is willing to take over his mess, and he has recently become a war criminal at the International Tribunal in The Hague. China's current so-called support is nothing more than a political show, not to mention that the Russo-Ukraine war has dragged the entire West into the quagmire of war. The longer the war goes on, the better it will be for China. Whether it is the so-called axis of evil or centralized dictatorship, the current international situation has developed into a confrontation between two major forces, which in itself shows that the moment of final resolution has finally arrived, and it is right in front of us.


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