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2025年8月15日 星期五

Trump and Putin met in the US to betray Ukraine again and return Alaska to Russia

 


Trump and Putin will meet in Alaska to discuss the Russia-Ukraine issue. The choice of Alaska is symbolic, as it was once Russian territory before being purchased by the United States. Holding talks on Ukraine in what was formerly Russian land is seen as Trump’s flattery toward Putin. It is almost certain that Trump will betray Ukraine again, regardless of Zelenskyy’s designer suits. The fact that the U.S. is inviting a war criminal accused of crimes against humanity to discuss legitimizing an aggressive war on its own soil is itself a bitter irony.The EU has imposed various restrictions on Trump this time, stipulating that any peace talks must focus solely on a ceasefire, not territorial issues, and that Ukraine must be included to avoid becoming a second Czechoslovakia in World War II. However, aside from imposing tariffs and exerting pressure, Trump’s ability to manage international affairs is extremely limited, and his understanding of such matters is notably simplistic. His plan to secure a ceasefire and nominate himself for a Nobel Peace Prize as a political achievement for the midterm elections might work for conflicts like Azerbaijan and Armenia, but mediating the Russia-Ukraine war is a waste of time. 


Both sides are currently under pressure to sit at the negotiating table symbolically, but without Russia withdrawing its troops, returning occupied territories, and compensating for losses, the war will not end.As for Ukraine’s promise not to join NATO, in reality, Ukraine’s current status is hardly different from being a NATO member. It receives full political, economic, diplomatic, and military support from NATO countries and dozens of others beyond the alliance. Ukraine’s million-strong army has been in a stalemate with Russian forces for over three years, with allies on both sides already involved. The war will not end until one side admits complete military defeat—either Russia permanently occupies the four eastern Ukrainian regions, or Ukraine expels Russian forces and reclaims its territory. 


There is no viable third-party solution. The current war of attrition benefits both sides: Putin can maintain domestic control through a state of war, while Ukraine receives foreign aid to deplete Russia’s resources. The conflict remains largely confined to the four eastern regions, with no significant expansion over the past three years, and both sides maintain relative control.Russia lacks the capacity to destroy Ukraine’s military and occupy the entire country, just as Ukraine lacks the ability to fully expel Russian forces and reclaim lost territory. The war will persist until one side’s resources are exhausted. Trump’s four-year term will likely see the war continue, potentially sparking recurring conflicts in regions influenced by Russia’s traditional sphere of power. Trump, a failed real estate mogul with six bankruptcies, relied on Russian financial aid to recover. During his 1980s visits to the Soviet Union, he was allegedly recruited as a strategic spy. His real estate ventures were merely a front for laundering Russian money as a “white glove.” 


After the 2014 Russia-Ukraine border conflict led to Western sanctions on Russia, Moscow activated its strategic asset, exploiting America’s outdated electoral system to propel Trump, a clownish figure at the time, into the White House—hence the “Russiagate” scandal.Now, in his second term, Trump’s primary task is to rescue Putin, who helped him become president, by pressuring Ukraine through various means. The current ceasefire talks are a prelude to lifting sanctions on Russia. For Trump, this is a necessity; if Putin exposes evidence of their collusion, it would amount to treason. Trump’s family has profited through stock market manipulation, cryptocurrency issuance, insider trading, and personal merchandise ventures, but these gains could be nullified if exposed, leading to his downfall. Believing his age protects him from consequences, he may even seek lifelong presidency or support family members to run for office to shield himself from political adversaries.So far, many of Trump’s campaign promises—ending the Russia-Ukraine war in 24 hours, global tariffs causing trade chaos, releasing the Epstein list, and addressing domestic inflation and economic stagnation—have failed. His prospects in the midterm elections are precarious, and the world has grown weary of his regressive policies. 


Biden’s defeat stemmed primarily from his age and perceived frailty, but his decisions followed a structured process. In contrast, Trump’s energetic but erratic governance relies on impulsive, ill-considered decisions. He might even return Alaska to Russia to curry favor with Putin, just as he sold out Ukraine.The U.S. has become an authoritarian state akin to Russia or North Korea, with a presidential system resembling monarchical rule. Trump, as a “king,” is a incompetent ruler with grand ambitions, making America’s decline inevitable—not due to its massive debt, but because of deliberate sabotage by a failed businessman and alleged Russian spy.

 

特朗普和普京的美國會晤出賣烏克蘭還要把阿拉斯加送還俄國

 


特朗普和普京會在美國阿拉斯加會面談俄烏問題,之所以挑選這個地方是因爲阿拉斯加本來屬於俄國,美國後來購買成爲領土,在原俄國領土上討論烏克蘭問題,這也是特朗普對普京的一種諂媚。至於他再次出賣烏克蘭是肯定的,即便澤連斯基穿了名牌西裝也沒有用,美國已經墮落到邀請一個反人類的戰爭罪犯,在本囯討論如何將侵略他囯的戰爭合法化的問題,這本身就是一個諷刺。


歐盟本次對特朗普進行了各種限制,所謂和談只談停火不談領土,而且烏克蘭必須參加,不能成爲第二個二戰的捷克。雖然,除了極限施壓亂加關稅外,特朗普對於國際事務的管控能力極其有限,而且在認知上也是極其幼稚的。通過停戰提名諾貝爾和平獎,然後作爲政績為中期選舉造勢,對於亞塞拜然和亞美尼亞或許有效果,俄烏戰爭的所謂調停根本是浪費時間,現在雙方都是迫於壓力,象徵式地做到談判桌前,俄羅斯不撤兵歸還領土賠償損失,戰爭根本不可能結束。


至於烏克蘭承諾不加入北約,事實上目前烏克蘭的狀態與加入北約有何區別,現在其實就是北約成員國,還得到了各國在政治經濟外交軍事方面的全力支援,並且已經擴展到北約以外的數十個國家。烏克蘭的百萬軍隊和俄軍僵持了3年之久,而且雙方各自的盟友也已參戰,戰爭最終不分出勝負不可能結束,就是一方承認軍事上的完全失敗,要麽俄羅斯將烏克蘭東部四州永久占領,要麽烏克蘭消滅入侵的俄軍收復領土,除此之外不會有真正的協力廠商案。目前的消耗戰其實對俄烏雙方都有利,普京可以繼續戰爭狀態維護國內統治,烏克蘭可以得到外援長期消耗俄爭資源,戰爭的主要範圍集中在東部四州,三年多來並沒有任何擴展,而且都處在各自相對可控的狀態。


俄軍沒有能力消滅烏克蘭軍隊占領整個烏克蘭,烏克蘭也沒有能力將俄軍全部逐出本收復失土。戰爭將長期持續下去直到一方的戰爭資源消耗殆盡爲止,特朗普的4年任期也會伴隨著戰爭的持續,並且還會引發俄羅斯傳統勢力波及的周邊地區和國家的不斷反復。特朗普作爲一個失敗的地產商人前後6次破產,最後都是靠俄國的資金援助才得以翻身,他在80年代訪問蘇聯時就已經被發展成戰略間諜,所謂的地產生意無非是爲了掩飾身份,幫助俄國洗錢是所謂“白手套”而已。2014年俄烏東部邊界衝突發生後俄國遭西方打壓,爲了突破封堵俄國重啓戰略間諜按鈕,利用美國落後的競選制度,幫助特朗普作爲當時一個小丑式的人物,居然進入了白宮,這就是所謂“通俄門”。


現在當特朗普二次執政後,最首要的任務就是解救幫助他成爲總統的普京,因此不斷採取各種手段打壓烏克蘭。現在的所謂停火就是為不久之後的解除對俄制裁做準備。對於特朗普來講這也是無奈之舉,否則普京只要公佈他通俄證據就意味著叛國,他上臺後通過各種諸如操控股市,發行電子貨幣,金融商貿內幕交易,發行個人商品等等謀得的家族利益,最後都會被清算自己也會身敗名裂。他自認爲年事已高即便東窗事發奈何不了他,爲此甚至還會謀求終身連任,幫助家族人員參選總統,只要執政時間足夠長就能擺脫政敵的打壓。


而目前來講他在競選之前的諸多承諾,包括24小時結束俄烏戰爭沒有實現,全球關稅導致國際貿易秩序大混亂,愛潑斯坦名單公佈也被取消,國內通脹惡化經濟增長乏力等等,他在中期選舉形勢岌岌可危,全世界已經受夠了特朗普的倒行逆施。拜登落選的最主要原因是年老昏聵,但他的所有政治決定都是經過程序的,而特朗普精力充沛但他的施政都是拍腦袋下想當然的荒唐決策,他甚至可能將阿拉斯加還給俄國討好普京,正如出賣烏克蘭一樣。現在的美國成了和俄國朝鮮一樣的集權國家,總統負責制名義下的王權政治,特朗普就是國王。


他是能力低下但又想大有作爲的昏君,所以美國的衰落是必然的,不在於無法償還的天量債務,而是一個失敗商人兼職俄國間諜的故意破壞。

麻生果恩

 









田中美久