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2024年7月19日 星期五
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Why stupidly used small-caliber rifle to help Trump back
As expected, Trump was shot while canvassing for votes. He was shot with a small-caliber rifle from more than 200 meters away. The possibility of hitting the target was low. Although the murderer fired 8 shots and hit the surrounding people, there was no It hurts Trump himself. Under such strict security protection measures, the ambush in a nearby building did not use a sniper rifle, but an ordinary rifle. It can be seen that it was not a professional murder. In fact, it was confirmed that the murderer was just a high school graduate. If a professional killer used a sniper rifle, he could kill him with one shot from more than 200 meters away. Afterwards, because the ambush position was exposed, the murderer was killed by a sniper watching nearby, so the shady story behind it could not be traced. This time, it hit the teleprompter and did not hit him at all. In the end, raising his hands and shouting fight was just a show. This time is very likely that he will be sent back to the White House.
Although
assassinations of presidents and candidates are common in the United States,
and the Security Service provides fairly tight protection to candidates,
assassinations still occurred in the end. Internationally, in recent years,
Japan's Shinzo Abe was killed at close range, and Taiwan's Chen Shui-bian was
shot in a car. Chen Shui-bian's assassination was a script by a director, while
Abe died due to a complete lack of security precautions. There are two
possibilities for Trump's assassination this time. If you really wanted to
snipe him, you could have used a right gun to succeed. The 8 bullets were not
aimed at all, they were just fired in his direction. Whether you hit him or not
depends on luck, and Trump had better luck and was not injured. Only the ears
were scratched by debris, and no matter how big the risk is, it is worth to
return to the White House. Otherwise, not to mention the lawsuits he faces,
political opponents will never let him go again.
If re-elected, it
is foreseeable that he will immediately intervene in the Russia-Ukraine war, Putin helped him
become president, and he helped Russia get rid of its long-term isolation and
siege internationally due to the Russia-Ukraine border conflict and the
Crimea issue. As long as he comes to power, he will inevitably use various
excuses to intervene in NATO's fight against Russia, and will indirectly
withdraw the United States from NATO and disband it in disguise. Forcing
Zelensky to trade territory for peace enabled the most blatant act of
aggression since World War II. It helps Russia prevent the NATO expansion and
promotes the disintegration of the organization-NATO, established
during the Cold War, thus freeing Putin from the current passive situation,
escaping the fate of being constantly consumed and ultimately failing, and
helping him maintain his rule for life.
His so-called plan
to unite Russia to resist China was a bluff. The ultimate goal was to unite
Russia, and dealing with competitors was secondary and excuse. And
whether the United States has the ability to compete with its opponents is
still debatable. At least this process will take a long time, and the West has
been deeply colluding with it for many years. The decoupling cannot be
completed in the short to medium term, and Trump only has a term of four years
at most. It is impossible to defeat the opponent in such a short period of
time. The last time he forcefully suppressed the opponent, it caused a global epidemic,
which ultimately led to his failure to be re-elected and to step down. The U.S.
policy of supporting competitors after the Cold War has not changed until now.
It hopes that the rival side can return to the original U.S.-led relationship
between the two countries through internal power transfer, rather than directly
competing through armed confrontation. Moreover, Europe and the United States
are now concentrating all their energy on dealing with Russia. The so-called
competitor is a secondary contradiction and now it is just suppression. Only
after Russia's Putin is completely dealt with the West will later point the finger
at his competitors.
If the Russian
issue is abandoned halfway now, the opponent's strength is far superior to
Russia, freeing Russia will also take great risks. Once it makes a comeback and
unites with competitors to jointly suppress the United States and rebuild the
world order, it is difficult to contend alone. Eventually, it developed into a
nuclear confrontation with an unpredictable outcome, and the price paid was too
high. Now Europe and the United States are gradually consuming Russia in
Ukraine, and are exerting pressure and restrictions to limit the competitor dare not to participate directly.
The good situation of concentrating all their efforts to solve Russia will be
broken. In the end, not only will Russia get out of trouble, but the United States will
also face a full-scale confrontation from its competitors. At that time, conflicts
will break out in Europe, the Middle East, the Korean Peninsula, the South
China Sea, the Taiwan Strait, Central Asia and other places, and totalitarian
countries and terrorists around the world will unite. The United States will
not only be exhausted, and it is difficult to cope with attacks from
unrestricted warfare overseas and at home.
Therefore, even if
it is inevitable for Trump to come to power again, for competitors, for Europe,
for NATO, for the Democratic Party, for trade wars, for globalization, for the
new epidemic, for Biden, for the United States, etc., no matter from any aspects, he will surely face flying
bullets again for the sake of long-term peace of mankind, but next time it will
from a small kid’s cheap caliber rifle.
小口徑步槍2百米外狙擊能打中靠運氣這次特朗普混過去了
特朗普一如所料在競選拉票時受到了槍擊,2百多公尺外用小口徑步槍射擊,擊中目標的可能性不高,雖然兇手連開了8槍擊中了周圍的群眾,但沒有傷及特朗普本人。在如此嚴格的安檢保護措施下,在附近樓上進行伏擊卻不使用狙擊槍,而是普通步槍可以看出並非專業者謀殺,事實上證實了兇手不過是個高中畢業生,用的根本不是搞狙擊謀殺的槍。如果是職業殺手使用狙擊槍,2百多公尺完全可以一槍畢命,事後由於暴露伏擊位置,兇手被附近監視的狙擊手擊斃,因而背後所牽涉到的黑幕也查無可查。不過,特朗普怎麼說也是命大,步槍掃射打中頭部的話基本沒得救,這次打在了提詞器上根本沒有擊中他本人,最後舉手高喊戰鬥是作勢,這次業餘性質的暗殺等於幫他助選,很有可能將他重新送入白宮。
雖然暗殺總統和候選人在美國司空見慣,安全局為競選人也提供了相當嚴密的保護,但最後還是發生了暗殺事件。國際上近年日本有安倍近距離被殺事件,臺灣陳水扁車內被射殺的案件發生。陳水扁被暗殺屬於有導演的劇本,安倍則是死于完全沒有安全防範,這次特朗普遭暗殺兩種可能性都有。真要狙殺他換一把槍就能成功,8發子彈根本就沒瞄準,只是對著他的方向掃射而已,擊中與否視乎運氣,而特朗普運氣更好些,自身並未受傷只是在耳朵上被碎片劃傷,滿臉帶血化妝師的刻意塗抹更加完美。對他來說必須再次當選沒有退路,即便冒再大的風險只要重回白宮也值得,否則且不說他面臨的官司,政治對手也絕不會再放過他。
如果再次當選可以預見他會立刻干預俄烏戰爭,幫助普京逃避罪責以換取對方不將當年幫他助選的醜聞公諸於眾。他與普京的默契早在多年前已經達成,普京幫他成為總統,他則幫助俄國擺脫在國際上因俄烏邊境衝突和克裡米亞問題而遭到的長期孤立和圍困。只要他上臺必然利用各種藉口干預北約對抗俄羅斯,並且使美國間接退出北約使其變相解散。逼迫澤連斯基以領土換取和平,使得二戰後最明目張膽的侵略行徑得逞。幫助俄羅斯阻止所謂的北約東擴,而且促使冷戰年代建立的該組織分崩離析,從而普京從目前被動的局面中解脫出來,逃避被不斷消耗最終失敗的命運,幫助其維持統治完成終身執政。
他當年所謂聯俄抗中的計畫完全是虛張聲勢,最終目的是聯合俄國,對付競爭對手是次要的。而且美國是否有能力抗衡對手還值得商榷,至少此過程需要相當長時間,而且西方多年來與其勾兌很深,所謂的脫鉤不可能在中短時期內完成,而特朗普最多只有4年任期,在如此短的時間內根本不可能將對手搞垮。上次他強勢打壓對方後造成了全球範圍內的疫情發生,最後也導致了他的連任失敗而下臺。美國冷戰後扶持競爭對手的政策直到現在也沒有改變,希望對方能夠通過內部權力交接,回到原來美國主導的兩國關係上來,而不是通過武力對抗的方式直接抗衡。況且現在歐美正在集中全部精力對付俄羅斯,所謂競爭對手是次要矛盾現在只是打壓。等徹底解決俄國普京以後才會將矛頭指向競爭對手。
如果現在俄羅斯問題半途而廢,轉而全力對付競爭對手,且不說對手的實力遠在俄羅斯之上,放生俄羅斯也將冒極大的風險,一旦東山再起聯合競爭對手,共同打壓美國重建世界秩序,美國在脫離北約後難以單獨抗衡,最後發展到核對抗結局難料,而且因此付出的代價過大。現在歐美通過聯合聯合在烏克蘭逐步消耗俄羅斯,並且施壓限制打擊競爭對手使其不敢就範,集中所以力量解決俄羅斯的大好局面將被打破。最後不但使得俄國擺脫困境,還會面對競爭對手的全面對抗,屆時歐洲,中東,朝鮮半島,南海,台海,中亞等地爆發全面衝突,全世界集權國家和恐怖分子聯合起來,美國疲於奔命不但海外而且本土遭到超限戰的襲擊難以應對。
因此即便特朗普的再次上臺難於避免,但是對於競爭對手,對於歐洲,對於北約,對於民主黨,對於貿易戰,對於全球化,對於新疫情,對於拜登,對於美國等等,無論從哪個方面看特朗普都已經過氣,即便他效仿過往美國總統被暗殺的橋段再次回到總統府,為了人類的長久和平他都將再次面臨飛來的子彈,但下次絕不會是從一直小口徑步槍裡射出。