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2024年7月9日 星期二
2024年7月8日 星期一
2024年7月4日 星期四
主席覬覦大美人王光美曼妙身材陪游泳把劉少奇惹毛了
1966年8月1日,中共中央八屆十一中全會在京召開。8月4日下午,毛澤東突然召開政治局常委擴大會議,一點鐘發出的通知,三點鐘開會。王光美事後回憶說,8月4日,毛在大會堂福建廳開了個小會,發了脾氣,嚴厲批評劉少奇、鄧小平。毛責問為什麼怕群眾時,劉少奇插話說:「革命幾十年,死都不怕,還怕群眾?」面對毛的一連串指責,劉少奇還說:「無非是下臺,不怕下臺,有五條不怕。」 王光美說,這是劉少奇生平第一次,也是唯一一次與毛正面衝突。
毛也不曾想到劉少奇會當眾這麼堅決地對抗自己和群眾運動。第二天,毛就寫了《炮打司令部——我的一張大字報》,表明他決心搬掉劉少奇和鄧小平這兩個文革運動的最大障礙。而在這之前,毛澤東雖然多次批評過劉少奇,但是一直也沒有上綱到「路線錯誤」。也可以說,1966年8月4日下午,毛澤東才最後下了「立刻打倒劉少奇」的決心。兩人的矛盾之一是毛邀請王光美游泳引起的。王年輕時是有名的大美人,身材曼妙皮膚白皙樣貌姣好,劉少奇雖也是男女關系復雜,最后還是鐘情年輕美女。毛澤東邀請王光美游泳始於1954年,盛於1959年的廬山會議。據《王光美訪談錄》回憶,「她會游泳是1954年在北戴河向毛學的,所以後來毛有時游泳會邀請她。有兩次毛澤東叫王光美去游泳,劉少奇都以健康理由拒絕」。
劉反感毛邀請他漂亮老婆陪游泳,因為弄不好就陪到床上去了。毛主席總是在重大政治風波將到時邀請王美人游泳:1954年毛澤東教王光美游泳,其時正是解決高崗問題的風雲變幻期,毛想通過邀請王光美游泳的機會探究劉少奇動態或對外營造一種毛劉是「親密戰友」的政治語境。 1959年毛澤東在廬山頻頻邀請王光美游泳,也許因為反對「彭德懷反黨集團」,毛亟須察探劉少奇的思想立場,爭取劉的全力支持,雖然明知如此,劉少奇仍難免有一種雖身居高位,卻不能保全夫人尊嚴的屈辱感。
毛澤東可能到死也沒有明白,他這種正大光明的「陽謀」,會促使全力頌揚毛澤東思想的「毛澤東選集編委會主任」劉少奇與他離經叛道。《王光美訪談錄》披露:毛澤東邀請王光美同泳是極其認真下力的,若電話通知不到,還再派秘書去接,這讓江青極其反感。有一次,遊完泳後已經是晌午,毛留王光美她們吃飯。飯擺好了,江青還沒有回來。大家剛坐好,江青回來了。她一見這場面很不高興,立即沉下臉來,生氣地說:「文章是自己的好,老婆是人家的好。」毛哈哈一笑!不好說什麼。
張之洞居然如此大膽把這位光緒皇帝給斬立決了
18986月11日,光緒皇帝頒布「明定國是詔」,宣佈變法,新政從此日開始,歷時103天,史稱「百日維新」、「戊戌變法」。9月21日慈禧發動政變,將光緒皇帝如囚犯般囚禁於瀛台,戊戌新政被扼殺在繈褓中,譚嗣同等「戊戌六君子」喋血菜市口。太后發布訓政詔書,第三次臨朝垂簾「訓政」。這期間,國內外對光緒的消息格外留心和注意。然而在湖廣總督張之洞眼皮之下的武昌,卻出現了一個活生生的「光緒皇帝」。清末劉成禺,字禺生,他所著《世載堂雜憶》一書中有《武昌假光緒案》一篇文章,記載了「假光緒」這件事的始末。劉成禺親自見過張之洞審理此案,還就此事問過他的老師陳樹屏(當時審理過此案的江夏知縣)。
光緒二十五年(1899),居住在武昌的一位湖北籍的候補官員欲將他在金水閘的公館出租,這日忽然來了一主一僕交銀租住。主人20多歲,白皙長身,僕人則四五十歲,無胡須,說話似女音。兩人均操一口流利的北京口音,入住公館後,少主人每日在家讀書吟詩作文,匿居不出,鮮有露面。但這主人衣服華麗,起居開支十分豪華奢侈。這僕人自稱「奴才」,每當進呈各種食品用物時,均行跪拜大禮,口稱「聖上」,完全是清宮皇室中的一套。年輕主人所用的被蓋上繡金龍,所用的碗也是鏤金的五爪金龍,他不時撫弄的一方玉印,上鐫著「禦璽之寶」四個篆字。這些東西只有當今皇帝獨用,任何「僭用聖物」的人都是要問斬的。那這人除了是皇上又能是誰呢?
這一切都被那位候差的官員看在眼裡,在他看來那位主子怎麼看都像是當今皇上光緒。有幾位曾在京城做過官見過光緒的縉紳也前往探看,乍看覺得像昔年的「萬歲爺」,但是實在不敢細認,忙三跪九叩,口稱「恭迎聖駕」。有人以光緒之照與這主人面容對比,確實相仿。有人懷疑這皇帝的真假,但見他所使用的被袱上皆繡有金龍,用的玉碗也刻有五爪龍,僕人還拿來玉印「御用之寶」示人觀看。見到這些物件的人就不再懷疑了。但也有人懷疑太監是假的,好事者就邀請這位僕人去洗澡,藉機查驗其下身,果然是太監。
皇上不在宮中卻在客棧中,又有傳聞是真龍天子暗自從瀛台逃了出來,駕臨武昌,如此一來,「光緒皇帝已到武昌」的消息不脛而走。一時武漢三鎮的大小官紳,候補官員沒有得到差使者,認為天賜良機,都來拜見皇帝,獻款獻物者不絕於門。這主僕二人對這一切都視之當然,無論誰送的錢財禮物,全部是照單笑納,毫不客氣。光緒皇帝在武昌的消息鬧得滿城風雨,漢口各報都憐憫光緒,詬罵慈禧,並且登載新聞說光緒由瀛台逃到湖北,由張之洞保護。其他各地報紙也作疑似之談或相互傳載其事,此事不久便傳到上海,一些報紙還發表新聞和評論,謂之光緒在革命黨的掩護下,逃出中南海,往武昌找張之洞圖謀再舉等言論。一時張之洞保駕之謠,傳遍天下。
張之洞斬殺「光緒帝」,江夏(今武昌)知縣陳樹屏聞之不敢怠慢,忙去金水閘「請安」,詢問「聖上」為何幸臨武昌。「皇上」對陳知縣不屑一顧,答曰:「見張之洞方可透露。」陳樹屏立即如實稟告張之洞。張之洞聞之大驚,但他畢竟是官場老手,覺得不可能,覺察到其中有詐。張之洞做事謹慎,於是密電京中同僚打聽虛實。北京回電說:「瀛台嚴禁如故,光緒仍幽禁其中。」回電光緒並無逃出之事,電告張之洞務必將假光緒逮捕歸案,免遭失職之罪。於是,張之洞決定開庭親審,以釋天下之疑。張之洞將那主僕二人押到總督衙門,親自開庭審問。張之洞大聲問道:「你不是要見我張之洞嗎?有什麼話講?」假光緒說:「大庭廣眾,不能向制台講,退堂當面可講。」張之洞拍案大怒說:「胡說,你們盜用宮中禁物,已犯斬罪,當斬!」
那假光緒裝傻賣呆支支吾吾亂了方寸。原來,這「皇上」乃是八旗伶人崇福,自幼學伶唱戲,多次出入宮中,盡諳宮中禮儀。其容貌清秀,頗似光緒,當日在宮中服務時,在伶人中有「假皇上」之稱。倒是那個老僕則百般狡賴,審理毫無結果。張之洞將此二人交江夏知縣陳樹屏嚴刑拷打,打得老僕據實招供:原來這老僕人真名叫趙德興,是皇宮裡的管庫太監。禦璽、金龍被等物均系他從宮中盜出。假光緒所用的玉碗等御用之物,也都是他平時偷的。
他因偷盜宮中禁物被發覺,私逃出京。這位老太監深知宮廷內部的底細,知道光緒被囚禁在瀛台,與外界隔絕,天下人都不知底細。他經常看到有人冒充王爺或大臣行騙發了大財,因此也想找人冒充皇上,做個大的。為此,他找到有「假皇上」之稱的崇福,策劃了上述伎倆,讓他冒充光緒,和自己一起到南方行騙。兩人利慾薰心,一拍即合,又在京城找了個妓女,冒充皇妃。武昌是他們行騙的第一站。只因老太監胃口太大,久滯武昌,未及時潛往他處,故而迅速敗露。
案情大白後,這假光緒主僕二人均被判為「斬立決」。次日,二人被押到武昌草埠門斬首。晚清歷史上,轟動武漢三鎮與京滬新聞界的假光緒案以兩顆人頭落地收場。老太監偷了那麼多的皇宮禁物早該躲到一邊享受去了,他卻慾壑難填,竟然想出找人假扮皇上來行騙的方法,真是想發大財想得昏了頭。倒是那個八旗伶人被老太監忽悠蒙了,讓他裝皇帝他就裝。這可不是在戲臺上,這普天下就一個皇上,是能隨便假扮得了的嗎?穿幫是沒商量的。不過,他臨死也算是瀟灑走了一回,被人家忽悠掉了腦袋也不屈。
張之洞殺人之快,一則是為了大清政局的穩定,二則也是為了表明自己與「假皇上」並無幹係。令張之洞沒想到的是,他這麼做避免了慈禧太后的一次統治危機,幫了慈禧一個大忙。
Trump's victory over Demented Biden at debate made Putin excited to be incontinent
Biden's poor performance in the debate with Trump was mainly due to his poor physical and mental state. In the end, it attracted attention from the outside world and hoped that Biden could withdraw from the election and be replaced. Although Trump is currently involved in lawsuits, it will not have too much impact on his campaign. Big impact, if Biden withdraws now and replaces himself with a new candidate, it will be very detrimental to the Democratic Party with only a few months left in the election, and Trump is far ahead in the polls. The safest thing to do now is to support Biden's campaign, and even arrange another debate. Of course, this must be done while keeping Biden in the best physical condition.
The current doubts about Biden are not about his policies, but about him. Can your physical condition last for a few more years? In any case, if Trump is elected, Putin will definitely be the biggest beneficiary. It was he who secretly supported Trump in defeating Hillary in the election. This is the origin of the so-called "Russia Gate". If elected this time, he will definitely help Putin force Ukraine to accept the fact of being invaded. The United States will no longer provide military assistance to Ukraine, even give up part of its leadership position in NATO, and prevent Europe from independently confronting Russia.
Trump will focus his energy on suppressing China, and will join forces with Russia to abandon the above powerful countries and fight back. In conjunction with the already established Indo-Pacific strategic region, Trump will not hesitate to use military means against so-called competitors. Putin is now lowering his stature to flatter North Korea's Kim Jong-un and asking for weapons and troops in order to delay the war as much as possible. He is very confident in Trump's election, and the two have a secret agreement in private. As long as Putin makes public the evidence that supported Trump's election, Trump's political career will definitely end and his reputation will be ruined.
Therefore, after Trump is elected, he will definitely support Russia to suppress Ukraine in the name of ending the war. This is why European countries continue to strengthen The intensity of support for Ukraine, in terms of weapons, personnel, equipment, funds, etc., and even the reason why it does not hesitate to directly send troops into the Ukrainian battlefield, is that Europe is ready to deal with Russia independently in the next four years. The withdrawal of the United States is tantamount to the substantial disintegration of NATO, which has just regained its vitality. In this way, the United States will also lose its international leadership position, cannot guarantee the security of Europe, and cannot maintain world peace.
Trump's claim that NATO members must pay to obtain U.S. guarantees goes against the purpose of NATO's establishment to fight against the former Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact. In the future, NATO will be indirectly disbanded under Trump's intervention, so that Russia's new expansion into Europe will no longer be hindered. In this way, Putin prolongs the Russia-Ukraine war and waits for the realization of the strategy of internal divisions in European and American countries.
Trump must force Ukraine to accept the fact of losing territory and promise to give up joining NATO and the EU. Zelensky will step down and go into exile in the West. Ending the Russia-Ukraine war will become Trump's greatest political achievement. However, at the same time, another war against a more powerful country will officially begin. As a far more stronger competitor than Russia, the country's ruling party and top leaders will never sit back and wait for death. It will not hesitate to launch all military and unrestricted means to fully confront the United States.
Although the United States will still return to its current correct foreign policy track after four years of Trump, a political clown, taking office, the cost of losing several years is unbearable. Therefore, as long as Trump dares to join forces with Putin to influence the European security order, and the United States will suppress its competitors as hostile forces through military suppression, Trump's political career will soon be ended by extraordinary means. This is also the case in the history of the United States tradition.
川普辯論會上大勝癡呆拜登令普京興奮到大小便失禁
拜登在和川普的辯論會中表現不佳,主要是身體和精神狀態太差,最後引發外界關注希望拜登能夠退選換人,雖然川普目前官司纏身但對他競選不會產生太大影響。如果拜登現在退出換新候選人,在選舉只剩下幾個月的情況下,對民主黨相當不利,況且川普在民調上領先不少。現在最穩妥的做法還是應該支援拜登競選,甚至可以安排舉行另一場辯論,當然要在保持拜登身體狀況最佳的前提下,現在外界對拜登的質疑不是他的政策,而是他的身體狀況是否還能夠堅持幾年。
無論如何川普如果當選普京一定是最大的受益者,當年就是他暗中支持川普在選舉中擊敗希拉蕊,這就是所謂“通俄門”的由來。這次如果當選他必定幫助普京逼迫烏克蘭接受被侵略的事實,美國不再提供烏克蘭軍事援助,甚至放棄部份北約的領導地位,並且阻止歐洲獨立對抗俄羅斯。川普將會將精力集中在對強國的打壓上,並且聯合俄羅斯拋棄強國反戈一擊,再配合已經打造好的印太戰略區,對所謂競爭對手不惜採用軍事手段。普京現在放低身段對朝鮮金正恩獻媚,要求提供武器和軍隊的目的就是希望戰爭盡可能的拖延下去。他對於川普的當選非常有信心,而且兩人私下已經有了秘密協議。只要普京將當年支持川普當選的證據公諸於眾,川普的政治生涯必定結束而且會身敗名裂,因此川普必定當選後以結束戰爭的名義,扶持俄羅斯打壓烏克蘭,這就是為何歐洲國家不斷加強支持烏克蘭的力度,在武器,人員,裝備,資金等各方面,甚至不惜直接出動軍隊進入烏克蘭戰場的原因,歐洲已經做好了未來4年獨立對付俄羅斯的準備。
美國退出等於將剛恢復生機的北約再次進入實質性的解體。如此美國也將失去國際領導地位,不能保障歐洲的安全也不可能維護世界的和平,川普所謂北約成員國必須付費才能獲得美國保障的做法,違背了北約成立對抗前蘇聯和華約的目的,將來在川普幹預下北約間接解散,如此現在的俄羅斯對歐洲的新擴張將不再受阻礙。如此普京將俄烏戰爭長期化,等待歐美國家內部分裂的戰略得以實現。川普必定逼迫烏克蘭接受喪失領土的事實,並保證放棄加入北約和歐盟,澤連斯基下臺流亡西方。結束俄烏戰爭將成為川普的最大政績,然而與此同時針對強國的另一場戰爭將正式打響,作為遠比俄羅斯強大的競爭對手,該國執政黨及最高領導絕不會坐以待斃,而是不惜發動一切軍事和超限手段與美國全面對抗。
雖然對於川普這個政治小丑在4年新執政時間過後,美國仍然會回到現在正確的對外政策的軌道上來,但是失去數年時間的代價是難於承受的。因此只要川普敢於和普京聯合影響歐洲安全秩序,美國將壓競爭對手作為敵對勢力採取軍事打壓,則川普的政治生涯必將很快會被非常手段所結束,這在美國的歷史上也是有傳統的。
2024年7月2日 星期二
2024年6月28日 星期五
North Korean Troops: Can Brown Rice and Soybean Paste Soup Win the Ukrainian War?
Rumors are rife that North Korea is sending troops directly to Ukraine. The initial plan is to send engineers, and then gradually increase the number of troops and deploy regular units. North Korea’s deployment of troops was actually negotiated when they provided weapons, and now it is officially implemented, which is beneficial for both countries. With France representing NATO directly sending troops to participate in the war, Russia’s alliance with North Korea is also a countermeasure. North Korea, with its million-strong army, can easily deploy tens of thousands of troops, and later even increase to more than 100,000. For Russia, North Korean troops can fill battlefield gaps and make up for the lack of manpower. Currently, the engineers are just the first step, similar to the reconnaissance units sent by France, all preparing for full-scale participation in the war later.
For North Korea, sending troops overseas has many benefits. Not only can it obtain scarce foreign exchange, but with its weak national strength, maintaining a million-strong army is a heavy burden. Sending troops to Ukraine can share some of the pressure on the Russian army and reduce North Korea’s burden, as the expenses of North Korean troops in Ukraine are borne by Russia. Due to long-term international sanctions, natural disasters, and food shortages, the supply level within the North Korean army is very low. The daily food supply for ordinary troops is less than 500 grams, with the most common meals being brown rice and soybean paste soup. Even a small amount of vegetables and meat is hard to guarantee. Except for the main and key units, ordinary troops suffer from long-term food shortages, leading to physical weakness, and they can’t even perform basic duties. Moreover, the North Korean economy has been on the verge of collapse due to the pandemic in recent years. Recently, North Korea provided weapons and ammunition to Russia in exchange for urgently needed food, energy, and military technology. Directly sending troops can also reduce the burden on the army, and troops can improve their combat effectiveness in a real combat environment. Therefore, from any perspective, it is beneficial for both sides.
The United States warns that North Korean troops participating in the war are nothing more than cannon fodder and cannot change the course of the war. Objectively speaking, it is better to let North Korean troops be consumed on the Ukrainian battlefield than to let them pose a constant threat on the Korean border. Although North Korean troops have a certain combat capability and strong fighting will, their combat effectiveness is very low according to the requirements of high-tech warfare. This kind of army, facing advanced Western weapons and Ukraine’s superior tactical strikes, has questionable survival ability. Even Russia, the world’s second military power, has suffered over 500,000 casualties and lost a large amount of weapons, equipment, and various supplies in more than two years of war. The Russian army, in terms of military equipment, troop training, combat effectiveness, and combat experience, far surpasses the North Korean army. Given the current state of the war, the Russian army’s combat effectiveness is still so, let alone the poorly equipped, poorly trained, primitive combat concepts, low tactical capabilities, and even underfed North Korean troops.
Although Russia still has an advantage in positional warfare with its manpower and firepower, this advantage is gradually narrowing with the lifting of Western weapon bans and the continuous influx of advanced weapons. As the Russian army is about to lose air superiority, ground offensives will become more difficult, and Russia itself will be continuously attacked. For Russia, the symbolic significance of North Korean troops is greater than their practical effect. The biggest problem for Russia is how many troops North Korea will send. Too few will be ineffective, and a large number of troops may not be realistic for North Korea, as the Korean Peninsula is still in a state of war, and it is impossible to draw a large number of troops overseas. Given the current rate of Russian troop consumption, with over a thousand troops being consumed daily, North Korea may also find it difficult to bear. Therefore, for Kim Jong-un, sending engineers is more about economic benefits than military ones.
However, it must be noted that if North Korea directly engages with Ukrainian troops, it means that North Korea, as an enemy of NATO, will also be directly attacked by the West. This would put North Korea at risk of fighting on two fronts, both on the peninsula and in Ukraine, akin to the Korean War breaking out again. The West might unite with Japan and South Korea to completely resolve the North Korean issue, posing a significant threat to Kim Jong-un’s regime.
烏克蘭戰場上的朝鮮軍隊:糙米飯大醬湯能否打贏戰爭?
朝鮮派兵直接到烏克蘭參戰的傳聞甚囂塵上,初步計畫是派出工兵,然後自然是逐漸增加兵力和派駐正規部隊,朝鮮出兵其實早在提供武器之時雙方就已經有協商,現在正式落實對兩國來講都有好處。在法國代表北約直接派部隊參戰的前提下,俄羅斯拉攏朝鮮進行對抗也是一種反制。朝鮮擁有百萬大軍出動2萬兵力不在話下,後續甚至有能力增加到超過十萬,對於俄羅斯來講朝鮮部隊能夠填補戰場空隙彌補兵力不足。目前來講的工兵只是第一步,如同法國派出的偵查部隊一樣,都是為後續全面參戰做準備。
對於朝鮮來講出兵海外好處甚多,不僅可以換取短缺的外匯,以其孱弱國力常年豢養百萬軍隊本就負擔很大,
出兵烏克蘭在分擔俄軍部份壓力的同時,對於朝鮮來講也減輕了負擔,畢竟朝鮮軍隊在烏克蘭的費用由俄羅斯承擔。況且由於常年受到國際制裁,自然災害和糧食短缺影響,朝鮮軍隊內部供給水準低下,一般部隊每天的糧食供應不到5百克,最常見的飲食無非是糙米飯和大醬湯,部隊甚至連少量的蔬菜和肉類都難以保證。除主力和重點部隊以外,一般部隊由於長期糧食供應匱乏導致士兵體力衰弱,甚至連基本的勤務都執行不了。況且幾年疫情下朝鮮經濟頻臨崩潰,最近向俄羅斯提供武器彈藥,換回了朝鮮急需的糧食,能源和軍事技術,直接出兵還可以減輕軍隊負擔,部隊可以在實戰的環境中提高戰鬥力,因此無論從任何一個方面看都對雙方有利。
美國則警告稱朝鮮軍隊參戰無非就是炮灰,根本不可能對扭轉戰局起到任何作用。客觀上說與其讓朝鮮軍隊在朝韓邊境進行常年威脅,還不如讓其進入烏克蘭戰場被消耗。雖說朝鮮軍隊有一定戰鬥力作戰意志頑強,但按照高科技戰爭的要求來說戰鬥力非常低下,這種軍隊在面對歐美的先進武器和烏克蘭的優勢戰術打擊下,究竟能有多少生存能力值得懷疑。即便是作為世界第二軍事強權的俄羅斯,戰爭進行了兩年多已經造成50多萬部隊傷亡,並且損失了大量的武器裝備和各類物資。俄軍無論從軍事裝備,部隊訓練,作戰效能和戰鬥經驗等無論哪一方都遠超朝鮮軍隊,戰爭發展到現在俄軍戰鬥力尚且如此,更何況是裝備低劣,訓練落後,作戰觀念原始,戰術能力低下,甚至連飯都吃不飽的朝鮮部隊。
雖然俄羅斯現在利用兵力和火力優勢,打陣地戰相對來講仍然還有優勢,但是隨著西方武器的解禁和先進武器的不斷進入,這種優勢的差距正在逐漸縮小,而且隨著俄軍即將喪失空優,地面進攻將會變得更加艱難,而且俄羅斯本土也會受到不斷攻擊,朝鮮出兵對俄羅斯來講象徵意義大於實際作用。對於俄羅斯來講最大問題是朝鮮出兵多少,數量太少根本起不了作用,大量出兵對於朝鮮來講也未必現實,畢竟朝韓對峙仍處於戰爭狀態,不可能將國內兵力大量抽調海外。按照俄軍現在經常性每天被滅一個多團,過千兵力被消耗的速度恐怕對於朝鮮也難於承受。所以,目前出動工兵對於金正恩來講也是經濟利益大於軍事。
必須關注的是如果朝鮮直接與烏克蘭軍隊開戰,意味著朝鮮作為北約的敵人,本土也將受到西方的直接打擊。如此朝鮮在半島和烏克蘭有面臨兩面作戰的危險,如此等同韓戰再次爆發,西方有可能聯合日韓徹底解決朝鮮問題,如此對於金正恩的統治有相當威胁,最起碼針對性的斬首行動難以避免。