The Chinese leaders visited Russia to start the so-called "peace
trip". In fact, it was nothing more than expressing their support for
Russia's confrontation with Europe and the United States. The two sides signed
a series of agreements related to energy, food, commerce, high-tech products,
etc. There was no cooperation agreement reached in the military. Although
secretly limited cooperation has been carried out through third-party
manufacturers, such as chips, satellite images, individual combat rations, drones,
etc., China continues to support Russia through various means, but the overall
scale is limited and it is not comprehensive cooperation. Putin has been the
leader of Sino-Russian relations for many years. He is very good at using the
relationship between the two countries to gain political, economic and
diplomatic interests. He himself is very disgusted with neighboring countries.
The platforms are all at the cost of energy contracts worth hundreds of
billions of dollars.
The former Chinese side also adopted a very indifferent wait-and-see
attitude towards Putin. It is impossible to talk about so-called comprehensive
cooperation with Russia, and it will never be considered that China and Russia
jointly offend the West. Due to personal likes and dislikes, the main purpose
of adopting a "one-sided" policy in the past was not so much to unite
Russia and oppose the United States as to maintain personal rule. Because
China's foreign relations in the era of rivers and lakes were entirely based on
the integration of interests supported by Europe and the United States. Without
international confrontation against the United States, the return of the former
regime would inevitably have a fatal impact on the current rule. Therefore, the
trade war launched by Trump is not so much a separation of the West from China
as an active decoupling of China from Europe and the United States. As long as
this regime can be maintained, Korean family rule is an inevitable choice.
Economic depression and livelihood difficulties are not considered. It is the
best soil for totalitarian rule.
Supporting Putin's visit to Russia is a response to Biden's visit to
Ukraine, and it is actually meaningless to promote peace between Russia and
Ukraine. The essence of this posture of the two countries confronting the West
can only show one thing, that is, the war cannot end in a short period of time
and will last for a long time. The economic and trade cooperation adopted by
China provides Russia with part of the funds to maintain the war, while Russia
exchanges energy and food. In fact, this is just the deepening of economic and
trade cooperation between the two sides over the years, without any substantive
in-depth progress. On the contrary, if China can take the initiative to express
its military cooperation, then even the assistance of large-caliber artillery
shells will solve Russia's urgent need. For China, it is not a problem to
provide military aid, but the problem is how long the war can last according to
the decline shown by Russia on the battlefield? How long can President Putin
last? Is he running for the presidential election next year? Can he run for
re-election? The comprehensive ability of the Russian army on the battlefield
is low, whether it is from equipment to combat effectiveness, from morale to
battlefield management, from intelligence to logistics supplies, etc., it is
far from its status as the second largest military power in the world.
Recently, it has developed to the point where T-55 tanks are pulled out
of abandoned warehouses for repair and sent to the front line, because the old
T-62 tanks are almost consumed. Casualties in more than one year since the
start of the war are conservatively estimated at 200,000, and the initial
invasion of Ukraine was 20 divisions. The advanced ground armor weapons
provided by Europe and the United States to aid Ukraine are already in place,
and a major counteroffensive will soon be launched. The armed forces for air
superiority are also being assembled, and they are still sticking to ground
warfare. The purpose is to consume the personnel and equipment of the Russian
army. In the final analysis, it is deliberately delaying time. As for the
so-called nuclear button, anyone who dares to activate it will face
retaliation. The United States has a strategic missile defense system and
Russia does not. Rather than saying that NATO expanded eastward to suppress
Russia, it is better to say that after World War II, the Soviet Union moved
westward and returned to the original point. Although President Putin is still
strong, he still has the ability to pull China into the water, but the question
now is that more than half of the military equipment and personnel have been
consumed in more than a year, and what will happen if the war drags on for
another year.
This is also the reason why China does not dare to propose all-round
military cooperation and assistance. The precondition for the so-called
protracted war between Russia and Ukraine is that the Russian army is still
able to fight. And this is currently the biggest uncertain factor. Putin will
win the election next year, because there is no one who is willing to take over
his mess, and he has recently become a war criminal at the International
Tribunal in The Hague. China's current so-called support is nothing more than a
political show, not to mention that the Russo-Ukraine war has dragged the
entire West into the quagmire of war. The longer the war goes on, the better it
will be for China. Whether it is the so-called axis of evil or centralized
dictatorship, the current international situation has developed into a
confrontation between two major forces, which in itself shows that the moment of
final resolution has finally arrived, and it is right in front of us.
