Yuri Murakami

 

香港發現最強變種病毒可能使得疫苗失效

 

英媒報導病毒（COVID-19）的一種超強變種出現在非洲，並已傳播到香港。這種病毒帶有32處突變，專家擔憂可能會讓所有疫苗失效。據英國《衛報》和《每日郵報》報導，英國專家警告，非洲的波劄那地區又出現一種新的變種病毒「B.1.1.529」，是目前突變程度最高的病毒，其棘蛋白中帶有32個突變。[B.1.1.529]是一種被名為「B.1.1」舊型變種病毒的演化，其多個關鍵突變讓它更容易傳播，更能抵抗疫苗。報導指，該變種目前僅通報10例，但已在3個地區出現，包括波劄那3例、南非6例，甚至香港也有發現1個病例。

香港病例是一名36歲、近日去過南非的人，他11月11日返回香港，接著在飯店隔離時病毒檢測「陰轉陽」確診。倫敦大學學院（University College London）計算系統生物學教授暨基因研究所所長弗朗索瓦·巴盧克斯（Francois Balloux）警告，「B.1.1.529」具有成為「最猛烈變種病毒」的潛力，比目前全球主流的Delta變種還可怕。東英吉利大學微生物學家大衛·利弗莫爾（(David Livermore）表示，「B.1.1.529」具有「非常廣泛」的突變組合，增加了逃脫疫苗的風險。

但也有科學家認為，過多的棘蛋白突變會導致病毒本身不穩定，現階段仍不用太過擔心，因為[B.1.1.529]還沒有出現迅速散播的跡象。現在兩地通過免檢甚囂塵上，港府一拖再拖主要還是看上面的意思。估計全面通關不可能有限制通過最快要等明年，無論輸出輸出個案增加都對本港防疫不利。

Trump became a karate black belt to fight back to the White House

 

Former U.S. President Trump received the honorary black belt ninth-dan award from Korea’s World Taekwondo Headquarters "Kukkiwon". He also said that after he regained his position in the White House, he planned to go to Congress in a black belt uniform. The Dean of the Korean National Institute of Technology Lee Dong-seop visited Trump at the private club Mar-a-Lago and presented Trump with a nine-stage certificate of honor, a taekwondo suit and a black belt. Trump laughed and said that it was a great honor to receive this honor, and described Taekwondo as "a great martial art to protect yourself in this era." He also said that after he regained the White House, he planned to wear a taekwondo suit to Congress.  

Recently, the former leaders of the Republican Party have suddenly changed their image. Both Pompeo and Trump have begun to lose weight. They look weird after drastically reducing their weight, and even show new images on social media pictures. The main purpose is naturally to make active preparations for the next election and show that he is healthy and capable of running for the election. Pompeo will be an important figure in the Republican Party's future elections, but the main goal is still Trump. After all, Biden is already nearly 80. Relatively speaking, although Trump is over 70, he is much healthier than the former. Biden has always been described as poor health, slow response, and even Alzheimer's. 

But from the perspective of Biden's current administration, there is really no sluggishness, especially in the constant open and undercover actions with competitors, showing the skill of a mature politician. Biden has more than three years in office. Whether the Republican Party has a chance to make a comeback is difficult to say. The most important thing is to blend with competitors and how to restore the economy. The control of the epidemic is secondary. 

What's interesting is that many of Biden's current measures are imitating competitors, such as stimulating the economy through domestic infrastructure construction, and secretly conveying and blending interests with the rival. Now the United States, like its opponents, focuses its energy on the country.  If the relationship between the two parties can be restored to the previous track, even in the case of fighting but not breaking, it will be difficult to say that Trump and the Republican party will be re-elected in time. If Trump insists on going his own way, he still has to confront huge underground forces hidden in the United States, which can even influence the US election, control the media and even dominate the flow of campaign funds. 

Therefore, the future star of the Republican Party is Pompeo, and Trump has completed his historical mission as a transitional figure.

 

ukie Kawamura

 

朝鮮高中生帶回一個《魷魚遊戲》USB被槍斃了

 

根據媒體報導一名朝鮮高中生從鄰國帶回一個裝有《魷魚遊戲》影集的抽取式隨身碟(USB)，後來把內容盜拷賣給同學等多人，沒想到遭人密報被判處無期徒刑，其他6名觀看影集的學生則被判處5年勞役。朝鮮嚴格禁止來自西方和韓國的媒體內容入境，但《魷魚遊戲》卻悄悄地在市面上流傳，多半是存在USB或記憶卡中。官員現在已在各個學校展開搜查，《魷魚遊戲》描繪一個反烏托邦世界，負債纍纍的人以兒童遊戲相互對抗，失敗玩家被處死。

 

消息人士指稱，兩人與朋友討論該影集，其他人也很感興趣，於是也跟他買拷貝版，但是這些學生隨後被政府監控單位抓獲。這次共有7名學生被捕，這也是朝鮮當局首次把去年才通過的《消除反動思想和文化法》用於涉及未成年人的案件中。根據該法，觀看、保留或傳播來自資本主義國家，特別是來自韓國和美國媒體內容者，最高可以判處死刑。包括涉事學生的校長、班導等人已遭解僱並被開除黨籍。他們肯定會被送去煤礦場工作或流放到農村，當局開始在市場搜查內含外國媒體內容的儲存設備。其實，近年韓國流行文化暗中在朝鮮傳播，包括影視劇在內的娛樂產品私下非常流行，引發當局關注下被徹查打壓。但仍在民眾中秘密流傳，本次是因為被舉報被嚴懲。

 

至於未成年人被槍斃在集權國家也是再正常不過的事情。特別是現在疫情流行，糧食供應緊張民生凋敝民心不穩，加強內部管控也是朝鮮的一貫作法，不過是現在變本加厲罷了。

川普突然成了空手道九段黑带要打回白宮去

 

美國前總統川普獲得韓國世界跆拳道總部「國技院」頒發榮譽黑帶九段殊榮。他還放話等他重拾白宮大位之後，打算穿著黑帶道服去國會。韓國國技院院長李東燮訪問川普在私人俱樂部海湖莊園（Mar-a-Lago），並致贈川普榮譽九段證書和跆拳道服及黑帶。他說：「我聽說川普前總統對跆拳道非常有興趣。」據信這次訪問是由一名在美國的韓裔人士安排的。川普則笑稱，獲得這份榮譽是一大榮幸，並形容跆拳道是「在這個時代保護自己的偉大武術」。他還放話說，等他奪回白宮後，打算穿著跆拳道服去國會。在獲得跆拳道黑帶九段證書後，川普現與俄羅斯總統普丁同級。普丁在2013年造訪韓國時，獲得世界跆拳道聯合會頒贈黑帶九段的最高榮譽。他還曾錄製過武術DVD，名為《與普丁一起學柔道》。

 

最近共和黨前領導人都突然形象大變，彭佩奧和川普都開始減肥，大幅降低體重下樣貌古怪，甚至還在社交媒體P圖顯示新形象。主要目的自然是為下次競選做積極準備，顯示自己身體健康有能力參選。彭佩奧年富力強是共和黨今後參選的重要人物，但目前主要目標還是在川普。畢竟拜登已經是近80的人了，相對來講川普雖然年過70但身體遠比前者健康。而拜登一直以來被形容為健康欠佳，反應遲鈍，甚至是老年癡呆等。但就現在拜登的執政來看，實在看不出有任何遲鈍之處，特別是與競爭對手之間明打暗拉動作不斷，盡顯老練政治家的手腕。拜登的任期還有3年多，共和黨是否有機會捲土重來很難講，最重要的就是與競爭對手的勾兌，還有就是如何恢復經濟，疫情的控制反而是次要的。

有趣的是拜登現在採取的很多措施都是模仿競爭對手的，在國內大搞基建刺激經濟，暗中通過利益輸送勾兌等等。現在美國和對手一樣主要精力都放在國內，後者只要在明年連任後必然與美國恢復全面關係。如果雙方的關係能夠恢復到從前的軌道，即便是鬥而不破的情況下，回到歲月靜好川普和共和黨連任就很難說了。川普如果一意孤行那就不是感染病毒這麼簡單了，他競選連任失敗涉及的是暗藏在美國的龐大地下勢力，甚至能夠左右美國的大選，控制媒體甚至主導競選資金的流動。所以共和黨的未來之星是彭佩奧，川普作為過渡人物已經完成了歷史使命。

Ui Mita

 

"Seven Steps" poem burst out as Musk keep launching the Rockets

 

On November 13, SpaceX’s Falcon 9 heavy rocket completed its 25th launch this year. Now for SpaceX, this has become a routine job like driving a commuter car. 

Musk was looking for Russia to help launch the rocket. At that time, he only brought 1 million US dollars but was ridiculed by the other party. The minimum cost was 30 million US dollars. In the end, Musk started to develop the rocket himself.  Now he has become the richest man in the world. His recyclable multi-purpose reusable rocket technology has changed the way humans explore the universe. What's interesting is that the sales of his electric cars were suppressed in a big country earlier. This kind of pediatric farce lasted not long. Everyone knows who is behind the scenes. 

Musk's original agreement was to share electric vehicle technology with local companies four years later. His rocket launch technology, vacuum train, unmanned driving, ground drilling equipment and many other advanced technologies are all dreams of the other party. Being suppressed is nothing more than "Starlink" has begun to use, and will soon be completed. In this way, the other party’s network blockade is in vain. In fact, local companies have begun to sell satellite receivers, so an agreement must be reached with Musk that certain technical equipment cannot be used locally. 

In addition, the so-called 5G base station, which the other party has invested more than 2 trillion in construction, has actually become meaningless. Because information can be transmitted directly through satellites, communications will no longer be marked with G in the future, and Musk has even begun to sell mobile phones. Therefore, the other party put forward various requests to restrict the development of Musk's technology in the local area. Therefore, he recently posted the "Seven Steps" poem in foreign language on the Internet that alluded to this matter.

Yuri Murakami

 

看馬斯克不停打火箭就知道為何突發《七步詩》了

 

11月13日，SpaceX的獵鷹9號重型火箭完成了今年第25次發射，運送53顆星鏈（Starlink）衛星升空。目前軌道上已經有1,800多顆星鏈衛星，為世界各地超過14萬用戶提供網際網路服務。SpaceX的發射任務安排得非常緊密。11月8日晚上，他們的龍飛船剛把國際太空站（ISS）的四名太空飛行員接回地球。在僅僅46小時30分鐘之後，10日，又送另外四名太空飛行員進駐國際太空站。13日，又完成一趟星鏈衛星的發射任務。以前，每一次火箭發射任務都是很重大的事件。現在對於SpaceX公司來說，這已經成了如同駕駛通勤車一樣的例行工作。

但是13日清晨的發射場景有些不同。由於安排在日出後不久的時間點發射，又遇到罕見的大霧天氣，獵鷹9號火箭在雲霧之上發射升空的景象猶如科幻電影中的場景。在此之前，SpaceX一年最多的發射紀錄是2020年，一共完成了26次發射任務。今年，11月13日的任務之後，該公司已經安排好的發射任務至少還有5個。接下來第一個是美國宇航局（NASA）用飛船撞擊小行星、嘗試推轉其軌道的任務—雙小行星重新定向測試（Double Asteroid Redirection Test，簡稱DART），定於本月23日在加州範登堡太空部隊基地發射升空。之後，12月還有獵鷹9號火箭從佛州發射的4項任務：下一批的星鏈衛星、NASA的X射線IXPE天文望遠鏡、土耳其Turksat5B通訊衛星，以及前往國際太空站的一趟貨運補給任務。這些任務加在一起，SpaceX今年將完成30次發射任務。

馬斯克當年是找俄羅斯幫助發射火箭，當時他只帶了1百萬美元但遭到對方嘲笑，最少也要3千萬美元，最後導致馬斯克自己開始開發火箭，期間遇到諸多困難多次面臨破產邊緣。現在功成名就下成了世界首富，他的可回收多用途重複使用火箭技術，改變了人類探索宇宙的方式。有意思的是早前他的電動車銷售在某國遭到打壓，這種小兒科式的鬧劇持續了沒多久，誰都知道這是誰在幕後主使的。當初把老馬套過來可是出了大價錢的，不但免費給土地而且周圍的配套早就搞好了，只要答應投入可以馬上量產電動車，而且還不要錢給數億美金的貸款。

馬斯克當初的協議是在4年後與當地企業分享電動車技術，他的火箭發射技術，真空火車，無人駕駛，鑽地設備等眾多先進科技都是對方夢寐以求的。遭到打壓無非是“星鏈”已經開始使用，而且很快將建設完成。如此對方的網路封鎖形同虛設，事實上當地已經開始有公司售賣衛星接受器，因此必須與馬斯克達成協議某些技術設備不能在當地使用。

另外，對方投資了2萬多億建設的所謂5G基站，其實也變得沒有意義。因為通過衛星可以直接進行資訊傳送，今後通訊將不再以G來標注，而且馬斯克連手機都已經開始出售了。因此對方提出各種要求限制馬斯克的技術在當地發展，所以最近老馬在網上發了《七步詩》暗指的就是這件事情。

Hitomi Aizawa

 

The epidemic is the last weight to crush mankind after the turn of the century

 

The method of controlling the epidemic to zero is also considered a last resort, and it is not clear about the global spread under the one country's personal leadership. It is better to simply shut down the city and collect passports without causing trouble outside. The recent hoarding of food, vegetables and daily necessities is actually for epidemic prevention. After all, the epidemic has begun to spread again. According to past experience, it repeats every two months. A little looser will inevitably cause the virus to spread again. Europe and the United States think that the vaccinations can be relaxed after being vaccinated. It is also silly that relying on continuous vaccinations alone cannot prevent the epidemic completely. Moreover, the virus itself is still undergoing constant mutation.  

Therefore, it should be said that a proper lockdown is necessary. The problem is that the supporting work during the period must be kept up, otherwise it will inevitably make it difficult to guarantee the basic lives of the people. This practice of coexisting with viruses is not worth promoting, because this epidemic may not have occurred in nature as in the past, and even now that the source is not clear, it is difficult to make effective targeted epidemic prevention measures. With the spread of the epidemic, the medical systems of all countries are difficult to load, and many countries are even in danger of being close to collapse. Therefore, the epidemic will not end in 1-2 years under optimistic estimates. This epidemic will also have a significant impact in human history. 

This is not only a problem of medical and health, disaster and epidemic prevention, but also has developed into a major issue of international politics, economy and diplomacy. From the trade war to the global plague, international relations have undergone tremendous changes in the past few years, and it has become a tit-for-tat confrontation between the two camps. As long as the epidemic continues, it will not be possible to achieve a comprehensive relation cut-off, and it will only produce a greater and deeper degree of dependence; as long as the epidemic continues, it will not be possible to complete the removal of a comprehensive industrial chain; as long as the epidemic continues, there will be no full-scale ideological war.  

As long as the epidemic continues, it is impossible to stop the blending and secret transactions among various forces; as long as the epidemic continues, the status quo of the division of labor and cooperation in the world economy cannot be changed; as long as the epidemic continues, the globalization pattern developed after the Cold War cannot be changed. It is impossible for the two major groups to engage in a full-scale confrontation. As long as the epidemic continues, the objective fact that the national strength of European and American countries continues to be weakened will not change; as long as the epidemic continues, the United States will not be able to use all its forces to fight against its opponents.  

Now that international politics, diplomacy, and economy have expanded to ideology, the final result of the so-called Murphy’s Law under many uncertain factors is a critical arrival, and an unforeseen worst result will definitely occur. The epidemic is the last weight to crush mankind after the turn of the century.

殲-40速度10馬赫作戰半徑覆蓋全球美國笑了

 

據多家媒體報導第六代戰機殲-40速度將達到殲20的5倍，殲20最大速度為2馬赫，而殲-40是殲20的5倍，就是10馬赫，音速的10倍。按照媒体的說法，殲20使用兩台渦扇10，速度就達到2.5馬赫，那殲-40就會達到驚人的12.5馬赫。

美國黑鳥偵察機使用衝壓發動機，最快能達到3.2馬赫，這是目前在大氣層內飛行的速度極限。美國的無人驗證機 X43在35,000米的高空曾達到9.7馬赫。殲-40不僅要超過 F-22黑鳥，還要超過世界紀錄。東風21飛彈只有8馬赫，東風175馬赫，導彈竟然比飛機慢。媒體稱殲-40能實現全天候作戰，作戰半徑覆蓋全球，赤道長度大概是40,000公里，殲-40作戰半徑達到20,000公里，搜狐的一篇報導提到，殲-40最大航程七千多公里，最大速度3.2馬赫，將在2021年首飛2025年服役。另一篇報導稱殲-40將會裝備電磁炮。

美國的無人驗證機 X43的所謂10馬赫，實際上是裝在飛彈上在飛行過程中再發射，飛彈早就超過音速了。安裝地磁炮解決不了能量的問題，因為要顧及飛行所需要的燃料，電磁炮的能量消耗非常高。特別是殲-20目前連超音速巡航都做不到。2021年首飛可能過於樂觀了，目前甚至殲-20還沒有完全量產。飛機本身與美國隱形戰機相比還是有很多不足之處的，因為安裝原本俄羅斯的發動機因此機動性能還是不錯的，但只能做到正面隱形不能達到全隱形的效果，不能超音速巡航，不能超視距攻擊，飛機複合材料比率低，體型過大不利隱形，航電設備與歐美相距甚遠，發動機落後等等。俄羅斯的AL-41發動機尚未出口，而且烏克蘭現在又停止了發動機的出口，所以飛機發動機問題解決成疑。

至於電磁炮現在放在軍艦上都沒有成功，目前只有美國進行了實體測試。沒有國家能夠在現階段安裝到飛機上。航程7千公里肯定需要空中加油，飛機本身攜帶油量是不可能的。至於媒體怎麼說無所謂，反正隱形飛機量產的目前只有美國，而且已經進入實戰以色列在中東多次運用。美國海空軍的裝備領先程度也不是其他國家短期內可以追趕上的，媒體上怎麼說都是非專業外人士的臆測而已。

 

The US boycott of the Winter Olympics is just like blue cheese

 

《The Washington Post》 columnist said that the US government will soon announce a diplomatic boycott of the Winter Olympics, but at the same time it will not affect the participation of national athletes. Although the administration has not made this technically, it has submitted a formal proposal to Biden, and he is expected to approve it before the end of November. 

Biden's current policy is to constantly give in to opponents, and recently removed media restrictions and restored the opponent's journalist visa. Due to his opponent's tough stance in recent years, he adopted a prudential policy after he came to power, verbally suppressing, actual concessions and constantly giving gifts. Although the establishment of a strategic partnership between the two countries after the Cold War is a basic national policy of the United States, and followed the path of common prosperity and has been sought after for many years. 

However, the relationship between the two countries has deteriorated due to the sudden change of the Trump policy, although the so-called trade war is aimed at Europe, Japan, Mexico and other countries, not just suppressing one country. In fact, if it were not for the radical diplomacy after the outbreak, Trump would actually be happy to see the end of the trade war, and he held a grand celebration, and believed that this was beneficial to his re-election campaign, and it was his major achievements. 

It is still too early to hope that the Republican Party will come to power in the next election, and it is even more wishful thinking that Trump will return as soon as possible. Biden's four-year tenure is still quite long. Just looking at his foreign policy against opponents, we know that criticizing him for Alzheimer's is too arbitrary. Continuous compromise and concessions are a means of mature politicians, and only full contact between the two sides will have an impact. Trump is not a professional politician but an amateur, and the same was true for his opponents at the time. 

And now the opponent is facing an experienced politician, and the United States will never give all its energy to the outside world until the epidemic has completely subsided. Penetration with competitors is also two-sided, and the influence of the United States is also huge for competitors. The opponent can use all the hidden power in the United States, and eventually even change the outcome of political choices. In fact, this can also happen in other countries, and the United States may be the most proficient country in the world. 

The deteriorating relations between the two countries under the Trump must be restored, and the first thing to do is to rebuild the channels of contact between the two sides. The US strategy is to continue to give gifts and compromises. The influence can only be exerted after full contact is restored. Under this policy, the so-called boycott of the Winter Olympics is nothing more than a formal previous promise not to change the rival's political status. Boycott is similar to the blue cheese, it is truly smell bad but the other side is eating this good.

Asami Kondou

 

制裁冬奧會無非是臭豆腐聞著臭吃著香

 

華郵專欄作家稱美國政府很快將宣佈外交抵制冬奧會，但同時不影響本國運動員參賽。雖然行政當局技術上還沒有最終做出這一決定，但已向拜登提交了正式建議，預計他會在11月底之前批准。俄羅斯現在國際上廣泛被打壓也包括參加個各項體育賽事，甚至連奧運會也是以個人名義參賽，然後打俄羅斯奧會的牌子。實際上所謂的抵制就是政府所有官員不參加運動員可以參加，現在疫情肆虐的情況下開運動會本來就引發不少問題，類似日本奧運會後爆發了大幅度的感染，直到最近才降下來。雖然冬奧會舉辦國是世界上防疫最嚴厲的國家，但是舉辦冬奧會勢必會引發境外輸入感染人數增加，最近就因為旅遊導致全國疫情惡化。

拜登現在的政策是在不斷給對手讓步，最近又把媒體限制取消，恢復了對方的記者簽證。由於對手近年的強硬姿態，拜登上臺後採取高舉輕放的政策，口頭打壓實際讓步且不斷送大禮，他的政策是對方不回應可以，美國利益輸送到對方不直接接觸都不行的地步。最近表示不打算改變對手現狀，能源污染方面進一步合作，貿易制裁也暫停了，恢復了電訊公司低端晶片的供應，企業女高管也無條件釋放了，在阿富汗甩鍋一般撤軍送裝備，留學生的簽證早就恢復等等，半年不到時間所做妥協之多，不但背棄了川普政府的所有政策，而且讓步力度之大，頻率之高，速度之快令人驚歎。 

雖然冷戰後的兩國合作建立戰略夥伴關係是美國基本國策，美國政經商華爾街與對方之間進行利益勾兌，走共同富裕的道路受到追捧歷經多年。但是在川普政府的突然轉變下兩國關係惡化，雖然所謂貿易戰是針對歐洲，日本，墨西哥等多國，而並非只是打壓一國。事實上如果不是疫情發生後的激進外交，川普實際上是樂於看到貿易戰結束的，並且他舉行了盛大的慶祝會，並且認為這對他當初的競選連任有利，而且是他之爭期間的重大成就。首階段的貿易談判所謂10%的關稅，當時已經透過貨幣貶值等手段消化掉了，甚至相當部份費用也是由美國貿易商支付。最後是由於對方的判斷失誤，在最後階段反悔才導致了貿易戰的進一步惡化。如果疫情不發生並且引發所謂的源頭之爭，應該說雙方的關係會很快回到往日的軌道中去。

川普之所以在競選之前突然發難，主要原因是他的經濟成就因為疫情短期內完全消失，而且國內經濟迅速惡化，源頭之爭將疫情壓力指向美方，而且當時幾乎無力控制疫情，醫療系統和物資面臨崩潰等，失業率大幅上升民生困苦，因此不得已才在競選最後階段，將矛頭直接指向競爭對手以尋求連任。應該說這種轉變非常突然，甚至沒有能夠拿出策略性的打壓方案，各種制裁都是川普的個人倉促決定，甚至在黨內都不能形成共識。拜登政府上臺是對手動用己方在美國鋪排經營多年全部潛藏力量的結果，當然美國選舉制度本身也是漏洞百出千瘡百孔。

現在寄希望於共和黨下屆選舉上臺言之尚早，川普儘快回歸更是一廂情願。拜登4年的任期還有相當長時間，就看他針對對手的外交政策，就知道批評他老年癡呆過於武斷了。不斷妥協讓步是成熟政治家的手段，只有雙方全面接觸才會產生影響力。川普不是專業的政治家而是業餘人士，而當時他的對手也是如此情況。而現在對手面對的是一位老練的政客，美國在疫情沒有徹底平息之前是絕對不會將精力全力對外的。與競爭對手之間的滲透也是雙方面的，美國的影響對於競爭者來講也是巨大的。對手可以在美國動用隱藏的全部力量，最後甚至改變政治選擇的結果。實際上這也可以在別的國家發生，而且美國可能是世界上最精於此道的國家。 

川普政府下惡化的兩國關係必須恢復，而首先要做的就是重建雙方的接觸管道，美國的策略就是不斷送大禮妥協。當全面接觸恢復後才能發揮影響力，在此政策下所謂抵制冬奧會之類，無非是為之前的不改變現狀的承諾，做些形式上打壓的動作而已。至於川普在競選最關鍵階段，他本人和家屬幕僚都感染病毒，最後他僥倖逃過一劫，這倒不是他運氣由多麼好，而且隱藏勢力只是想阻止他為競選造勢，但並不想直接解決問題。至於他4年後是否捲土重來，就看下次病毒或是其他東西，是否又會莫名其妙地自動找上他了。

Yukie Kawamura

 

Losing Taiwan, the United States will become a second-rate country

 

If the United States does not intervene, the rival's so-called grand cause of reunification of the motherland - Taiwan, will surely succeed. This is not entirely based on the absolute superiority of military power. Under the strategy of "no people left on the island", the war can be prolonged for a long time regardless of the cost. Moreover, the methods of warfare are varied.  As long as submarines and mines are used to cut off Taiwan’s energy input for three months, the island’s hidden political, economic, and military forces that have been active on the island for many years can operate in public. All sorts of over-limit means messed up, and finally the United Parties dispatched to clean up the mess. The comprehensive and ingenious means of penetration on the other side have been fully demonstrated in the civil war. Therefore, military means are nothing more than the help of political means. Without the intervention of the United States, the price paid is small, and even comprehensive military measures are not required. 

If the United States loses Taiwan, then the Western Pacific will have no power to stop its "rivals" from developing. After the opponent's reunification is completed, it will immediately support North Korea in launching a war to reunify the peninsula to merge South Korea, and then use the Korean peninsula and Taiwan as bases to infiltrate Japan. The United States needs to transfer its military power to East Asia. Even if the United States has more than one hundred military bases in Japan, it cannot do anything if it faces a long-term full-scale confrontation. In particular, both sides are the world’s largest economies and possess the world’s most powerful nuclear weapons. At the same time, "competitors" are bound to push military power to Southeast Asia without huge military price. The naval strength of the entire Southeast Asia is not as strong as the opponent's one fleet. Moreover, these countries lose the support of the United States, they will fall into the arms of "opponents" from all sides. 

Not to mention the fact that overseas Chinese control the lifeblood of Southeast Asia's economy. Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia and other countries have close relations with the "big country". Singapore, Thailand and Malaysia have a high percentage of Chinese. In fact, even the Philippines has adopted a strategy of approaching "new power" in recent years. In the southwest, the United States has withdrawn troops from Afghanistan. In this way, Pakistan and Afghanistan are connected, and opponents can even penetrate into the Middle East through the Afghan alliance. If American forces are driven out of the Pacific, Russia will immediately take the opportunity to launch a military attack on Ukraine. There is no military obstacle to Russia's annexation of Ukraine, so NATO's further eastward expansion can be prevented. Then Russia will unite with its partners to redistribute its sphere of influence in Central Asia. 

Iran and Syria are allies, the Taliban in Afghanistan are powerful in the Middle East, and the Islamic State is the main anti-American force. As long as they have financial aid, they can form a common alliance. Europe has remained neutral in the new Cold War and has been slow to isolate itself from American competitors. If the United States declines, Europe will inevitably start all-round cooperation with American competitors. The economic integration of the two is difficult to separate, and all-round confrontation is simply not qualified. In this way, the United States was completely reduced to a second-rate country, with its own left-wing forces at the forefront, implementing a comprehensive and thorough socialist transformation, and becoming a country under the control of its opponents. 

The current government has shifted from full confrontation to partial confrontation, claiming that it is unwilling to change the status quo of its opponents, and has continued to make concessions to seek continued cooperation from the suspension of trade wars to the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan, the cessation of tracing the source of the virus to the release of corporate female executives, etc. Originally, the so-called international politics is the transfer of interests and compromise under the control of various forces. With the tough attitude of its opponents, the United States has continued to make concessions, and internal forces have begun to surface and continue to cooperate, and have even developed to fully manipulate its own elections. The infiltration of interests over the years has made the United States from the Democratic Party, traditional leftists, various media, numerous technology companies, Wall Street financial capital, and most large corporations, secretly and indirectly controlled by competitors.  

If it were to start a sudden war now, the U.S. government would only at best condemn it verbally, and the formal sanctions would be a cutscene. It is obvious how impossible it is to protect Taiwan with all its strength. After the rise of new great powers, the developing countries of the third world in Africa, Asia, and the Latin America will all unite under the banner of the ideology of their opponents and strong capital, and the world structure will be completely changed. The United States has become a second-rate country that no one cares about and is despised.

The latest prediction of Indian child prodigy Anand can be guessed with common sense

Indian prodigy Abigia Anand has had many expectations about the overall situation of the world, the trend of the epidemic, and the global economic situation in the past. In a recent film, it was revealed that the world is about to face seven major disasters, including famine, pandemic, energy, power shortage, supply chain disruption, extreme weather and economic turmoil. The news of the famine caused widespread concern. Anand pointed out that this winter will be very cold. It is expected that there will be severe cold and heavy rain before May next year, spreading to Asia and Europe. From December 10 to May 2022, there may be famines in various countries around the world. People must prepare in advance. 

In addition, the film also mentioned that starting from the second week of December, the world epidemic may escalate. Countries with high vaccination rates such as the United Kingdom, the United States, Singapore and Israel may face high infection. On the economic front, the Indian prodigy pointed out that affected by the epidemic, the Indian stock market may expand the bubble, reminding investors to pay attention. In fact, these predictions can also be judged based on common sense. The epidemic is due to virus mutation that causes the vaccine to fail, and it will not disappear in the short term and may even worsen. Countries with high vaccination rates have relaxed supervision, which has led to the spread of mutant viruses. The current virus epidemic period is usually around 2 months. After the number of infections decreases, there will be a sudden increase in about 2 months. The famine is due to people being quarantined at the peak of the epidemic and food production is affected. Food-producing countries give priority to export control locally, resulting in insufficient international food supply. 

There are natural disasters every year, nothing more than their degree. Power shortage is actually an energy problem. Excessive emphasis on new energy has suppressed traditional energy. Energy production was affected during the epidemic. Now that the epidemic situation in various countries has eased, increasing demand and insufficient supply will naturally lead to price increases. The cost of power generation has increased due to man-made reasons. Due to insufficient power supply in the short term, energy problems will not occur under long-term supply balance. The supply chain was interrupted mainly because of poor logistics during the epidemic, and political struggles between major countries also affected imports and exports. In addition, the international freight industry was disrupted by the virus, leading to a substantial increase in transportation costs and a disconnection of logistics. In order to avoid the epidemic, production, logistics and sales have been suppressed in various countries, which will naturally cause various influences. 

The problem of famine has existed in developing countries for many years, and it is not a problem that only appears now. Anand's various predictions are accurate or inaccurate, such as predictions such as World War 2020. Anyway, he will continue to add. These bold words have brought him a lot of fans and YouTube revenue. The 12-year-old prophet began to predict Bitcoin, the virtual currency of politics, economy, and diplomacy. There should not be a similar statement in the Vedas.